Istat data

Industrial revenue slowed in June (-1 per cent)

Growth of 3.1 per cent year-on-year, but volumes are falling.

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Down on the previous month, but up year-on-year – though this is solely due to the price effect.

The figures released by Istat on industrial turnover in June show a mixed picture, with a one-point fall compared with May, reflecting a slowdown in both value and volume terms. On an annual basis, however, there was a 3.1 per cent increase, although volumes contracted by almost one percentage point. The situation was similar for the first half of the year as a whole, with revenue rising by 2.6 per cent and volumes remaining virtually unchanged at +0.1 per cent.

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The sectors driving up the year-on-year average are, in particular, chemicals, pharmaceuticals and rubber and plastics, but above all the metals sector (+13.9 per cent), driven upwards by rising prices due to energy costs. The energy sector, in particular, recorded the most significant year-on-year growth, with revenues rising by over 22 per cent.

The first half of the year thus confirmed the overall stagnation in industry, with production between January and June showing growth of just 0.5 per cent – a figure held back mainly by the fashion and chemicals sectors, whilst the recovery in the automotive sector was the main driving force.

There are also mixed results when it comes to exports. For whilst it is true that in the first six months, despite a challenging international climate, our cross-border sales rose by 4.5 per cent, a significant proportion of this growth (an additional seven billion, half of the overall increase in absolute terms for ‘Made in Italy’) is linked to the sale of gold bullion to Switzerland, whilst more than one sector ended the half-year in decline (fashion, paper, furniture) or at the previous year’s levels (machinery).

In detail

In June 2026, it is estimated that the industry’s turnover, adjusted for seasonal factors, will fall by 1.0 per cent in value and 0.7 per cent in volume on a month-on-month basis, with negative trends recorded both on the domestic market (-1.0% in value and -0.4% in volume) and on the foreign market (-1.0% in value and -1.3% in volume). For the services sector, month-on-month figures are estimated to show no change in value and a decrease of 0.4 per cent in volume, reflecting growth in wholesale trade (+0.5 per cent in value and +0.9 per cent in volume) and a decline in other services (-0.4 per cent in value and -0.7 per cent in volume). The seasonally adjusted turnover indices by value for the main industrial sectors recorded a month-on-month increase in June for consumer goods (+0.3 per cent) and intermediate goods (+0.4 per cent), whilst a decrease was observed for capital goods (-2.6 per cent) and a more pronounced fall for energy (-7.1 per cent). In the second quarter of 2026, on a month-on-month basis, industrial turnover, net of seasonal factors, increased in value terms (+1.2 per cent) and decreased in volume terms (-0.9 per cent). Over the same period, the services sector recorded increases of 0.9 per cent in value and 0.1 per cent in volume.

On a trend basis, in June 2026, industrial turnover, adjusted for calendar effects, showed an increase in value (+3.1 per cent) and a fall in volume (-0.9 per cent), reflecting growth of 2.3 per cent in value and a decline of 1.8 per cent in volume on the domestic market, alongside an increase of 4.6 per cent in value and 0.8 per cent in volume on the foreign market. For the services sector, net of calendar effects, there was a year-on-year increase of 3.2 per cent in value and a decrease of 0.5 per cent in volume. In the wholesale trade sector, the turnover index rose both in value terms (+4.2 per cent) and in volume terms (+0.8 per cent), whilst in other services there was a 1.9 per cent increase in value and a 0.5 per cent decrease in volume. There were 21 working days in June 2026, compared with 20 in June 2025. The calendar-adjusted turnover indices by value for the main industry groups show, on an annual basis, a decline only for consumer goods (-1.2%), whilst there was a marked increase for energy (+22.2 per cent) and more modest increases for intermediate goods (+5.4 per cent) and capital goods (+0.8 per cent).

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