Report

Industry, CsC: Italy among the EU countries most affected by rising energy costs

This is what emerges from the Rapporto Industria 2025 (Industry 2025 Report) by the Centro Studi di Confindustria entitled: "Manufacturing in transformation: will it still remain competitive?", which notes that, "three years after the shock, the incidence of energy costs on total production costs, in Italy, remains above the 2018-2019 average by more than one percentage point. For France, on the other hand, the shock is almost completely reabsorbed, while Germany scores +0.6 p.p.'.

by Rome Editorial Staff

SANTONI SPA AZIENDA INDUSTRIA TESSILE PRODUZIONE TELAIO TELAI MACCHINE PER CALZE

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Italian manufacturing maintains a significant role in the national economy and in the international context. This is what the Rapporto Industria 2025 (Industry 2025 Report) by the Confindustria Research Centre highlights. A document that answers the question: "Manufacturing in transformation: will it still remain competitive?" presented in Rome. We are talking about the eighth largest manufacturing industry in the world, with 2.1% of global manufacturing added value; the second largest in Europe, 13% of European manufacturing added value.

After several years, Confindustria is once again publishing a report dedicated to Italian manufacturing. The initiative responds to the need for an organic and up-to-date picture of the characteristics and evolution of the manufacturing sector, which is confirmed as a pillar of the national economy and an essential component of the country's competitiveness.

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The energy shock on business costs was more pronounced in Italy than in France and Germany. Even before the pandemic, the Italian manufacturing industry, along with the German industry, had a slightly higher incidence of energy costs on total production costs than the French industry. As prices escalated, the incidence exploded and Italy was by far the most affected EU country. It is highlighted that, "three years after the shock, the incidence of energy costs on total production costs in Italy remains above the 2018-2019 average by more than one percentage point. For France, on the other hand, the shock is almost completely reabsorbed, while Germany marks a +0.6 p.p.". According to the report, the increase in energy costs was heterogeneous across sectors. In almost all countries, the most affected sectors were the energy intensive ones, starting with metallurgy, and in Italy this sector was the hardest hit. The sectors of ceramics, glass, cement, plaster, bricks and lime (non-metallic minerals, +2.5 p.p. in Italy compared to just over 1 p.p. in Germany) also had a major impact. The increase was marked in the wood and rubber-plastics sectors, with an increase in the incidence of energy costs compared to pre-pandemic of about +1.5 p.p., against less than 0.5 in Germany and France. In the other sectors, with the exception of paper and printing, electronics and furniture and other industries, the increases are smaller and still less than one percentage point, but Italy is still the most affected country in relative terms.

A snapshot of Italian manufacturing

The result that emerges from the report is a comprehensive snapshot of Italian manufacturing. Which, the survey highlights, maintains a relevant role in the international context and for the national economy: it is eighth in the world and second in Europe in terms of size (2.1% of the global manufacturing added value and 13% of the European one) and generates 15% of the Italian GDP - a percentage that doubles when considering allied industries. In addition, it makes 35% of investments in machinery and equipment and 50% of R&D spending, and on average has higher productivity levels than other sectors, enabling it to pay higher wages than services (+20% in 2024), construction (+21.0%), the public sector (+8.3%) and the total economy (+14.5%).

European comparison

The Italian manufacturing sector has a very high degree of diversification compared to other European manufacturers, which contributes to strengthening its resilience to global shocks. Its sectoral composition has remained relatively stable over the last decade, with specialisation concentrated in medium- and low-technology-intensive sectors, accounting for around 60% of manufacturing value added - a lower share than in Spain (64%) but higher than in France (51%) and Germany (39%). Instrumental mechanics (14% of the manufacturing value added), metal products (13%) and foodstuffs (9%) maintain a significant incidence on national manufacturing; textiles (25% of the European sectoral value added), clothing (47%), leather goods (50%) and furniture (20%), on the other hand, have a particularly high weight in the European context; finally, metallurgy, chemicals and rubber-plastics are the sectors with the greatest upstream and downstream connections along the production chains.

The Export Drive

The Italian manufacturing industry, the CsC preport again emphasises, is characterised by a high degree of openness to international markets and a widely diversified export composition: in 2023, exports reached 48.2% of manufacturing production and generated a trade surplus of around EUR 120 billion, driven mainly by instrumental mechanics. The main export sectors are mechanical engineering (17.1% of manufacturing exports, average 2023-2024), textiles-clothing-leather (10.8%), food and beverages (9.8%), pharmaceuticals (8.6%) and motor vehicles (7.3%). Pharmaceuticals stands out due to a particularly significant increase in trade openness.

The orientation towards small and micro enterprises

Italian manufacturing is still oriented towards small and micro enterprises. In 2023, only 42% of manufacturing value added was generated by large enterprises (250 or more employees), compared to 74% in France and 75% in Germany; symmetrically, micro (up to 9 employees) and small (10-49 employees) enterprises maintain a very significant role, with a total contribution of more than 30% of value added, compared to around 10% in Germany and 14% in France. This reflects both the high number of small and micro enterprises and the relatively small size of large Italian companies. However, a significant qualitative transformation is underway: over the last decade, an intense selection process has reduced the number of micro enterprises by almost 12%, while a significant growth in average size is observed among large enterprises. This evolution, the survey highlights, is relevant considering the relationship between firm size and productivity: in Italian manufacturing, all other conditions being equal, efficiency grows significantly with firm size, and medium and large Italian firms show higher productivity levels than their German, French and Spanish counterparts.

Investment propensity

Other characteristics associated with Italian manufacturing include the fact that it maintains a higher propensity to invest than the main European economies. Between 2015 and 2024, it is explained, investment in fixed capital averaged around 25% of manufacturing value added, a level higher than that recorded in France (22%) and Germany (20%) and substantially in line with Spain. At the same time, however, the growth of available physical capital shows relatively weak dynamics in international comparison, even when considered in relation to labour input. Investment in tangible goods has historically accounted for the largest share of manufacturing investment: the average investment propensity over the last decade was 18.1% of added value, consolidating the distance already existing compared to France (average 11%) and Germany (9.3%). On the contrary, although growing over time, the propensity to invest in intangible assets (15%, only partly included in investment in fixed assets) remains significantly lower than that observed in Germany (18%) and France (23%), especially as regards investment in intellectual property.

The effects of low productivity dynamics

Finally, one part of the report addresses the issue of competitiveness. And it emphasises that low productivity dynamics is one of the main structural weaknesses of Italian manufacturing. Over the last thirty years, despite showing a better trend than in services and the economy as a whole, labour productivity per hour worked has recorded a cumulative growth rate (+26%) that is significantly lower than that of the main European manufacturing industries: about one third compared to that recorded in France and Germany, and less than half compared to that in Spain. The largest portion of this gap arose between 1995 and 2014, mainly due to a negative contribution of total factor productivity.

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