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Institutional market to recover in the first half of 2025

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2' min read

2' min read

The Italian institutional real estate market will close the first half of 2025 with approximately EUR 5.3 billion in investments, up 51% compared to the same period in 2024, and 31% above the average of the last five years. This is what emerges from data compiled by the research office of Bnp Paribas Real Estate, which notes a recovery trend in a European context of perceived stability.

In the second quarter, volumes reached EUR 2.72 billion, an increase of 4% compared to the previous quarter and 80% year-on-year.

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offices, hospitality and retail

Leading the market trend in the first half of the year were the Office (26%), Hospitality (24%) and Retail (23%) segments. In particular, the Hospitality segment showed significant growth: +171% compared to the first half of 2024 and +89% compared to the average of the last five years, supported by the good performance of Italian tourism. Retail is also showing signs of recovery with volumes up 142% year-on-year and 139% compared to the five-year average, after years of contraction.

The office sector retains a central role, with a volume increase of 33% above the average of the last five years, concentrated in core operations, while not excluding value-add activities.

Logistics and alternatives

Logistics grew 30% year-on-year in the first half of 2024, although second-quarter volumes remained below the five-year average due to a comparison with particularly dynamic quarters. The expansion of the Alternatives segment, which includes assets related to living, data centres and healthcare, also continued and accounted for 11% of total institutional investment volumes.

"The success of the Retail sector in recent quarters goes hand in hand with that of Hospitality, which benefits from the strength of the Italian tourism sector," commented Susan Trevor-Briscoe, Head of Market Research at BNP Paribas Real Estate Advisory. Activity in the Office sector has mainly focused on core opportunities this year, although there has been no shortage of value-add transactions. Investment growth in the Logistics and Alternatives sectors has remained strong in the first half of 2025, although the former shows seemingly more restrained expansion due to the base effect, and the latter takes longer to develop for the many emerging asset classes involved, from Living to Data Centres and Healthcare."

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