Risiko

Intesa-MPS: prospectus published; public takeover bid valid with 50 per cent of the votes; cascading bid for Mediobanca

The offer document approved by Consob has been published: a 66 per cent acceptance threshold, which may be waived; 2.9 billion in synergies; Generali to be transferred to the insurance division under the Danish Compromise. The technology hub in Siena has been confirmed, with only voluntary redundancies and 6,800 new hires

La sede di Intesa Sanpaolo a Milano Bloomberg via Getty Images

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Intesa Sanpaolo may only need 50 per cent of the share capital plus one share to take over Monte dei Paschi di Siena. This is one of the most significant points contained in the offer document published this afternoon, alongside the EU follow-on prospectus, following Consob’s approval on Sunday.

The quorum: 50 per cent plus one vote

In the document published, the bank led by Carlo Messina confirms the 66.67 per cent acceptance threshold, but reserves the right to waive this and proceed with the public takeover bid even with a lower level of acceptance, provided that it does not fall below 50 per cent plus one share. The latter is a mandatory threshold, in line with the authorisation granted by the ECB on 27 October.

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The objective remains the same: to acquire control of Siena, proceed with full integration and achieve the delisting of MPS. Intesa also confirms the expected operational benefits: €2.9 billion in annual pre-tax synergies, comprising €1.5 billion in cost savings and €1.4 billion in revenue, to be fully realised by 2029. The bank considers these estimates achievable even if the level of participation falls below two-thirds, provided it secures 50 per cent plus one of the votes.

Mediobanca: the cascade of takeover bids

One of the issues attracting the most attention concerns Mediobanca. Following the rejection by the MPS shareholders’ meeting of the proposed merger with Piazzetta Cuccia, Intesa will, should the OPAS for Siena be successful, launch a mandatory public offer for the outstanding Mediobanca shares. Through MPS, it would in fact come to hold, indirectly, around 86.35 per cent of the Milan-based bank’s share capital, and with the residual takeover bid it aims to acquire the remainder.

To determine the consideration for the cascading offer, Intesa intends to use the same exchange ratio as for the merger (2.45 times the consideration offered by Intesa for MPS). The offer may be settled in Intesa shares, in cash or through a combination of the two.

Generali: no impact from ‘a minority of independent directors’

Another sensitive issue concerns Generali. The intention to retain the 13.32 per cent indirect stake in Generali as a ‘non-controlling financial investment’, without interfering in its governance, has been confirmed. Should the takeover bid succeed, the group will limit itself to appointing ‘a minority of independent directors’, who will have no executive powers and will be unaffiliated with the Intesa group. The possibility of appointing the company’s chairman or chief executive has been ruled out.

Leone’s stake in Intesa Assicurazioni under the Danish Compromise


Once the transaction has been finalised, the 13.3 per cent stake in Leone currently held through Mediobanca would be transferred, via an intra-group transaction, to Intesa Sanpaolo Assicurazioni. This structure would allow the company to benefit from the prudential treatment under the Danish Compromise, which was already taken into account in the ECB’s authorisation of 27 October and for which no further authorisation would be required.

Axa: joint venture to be reviewed

Meanwhile, the Axa case is also coming to the fore. Intesa has indicated that, following the acquisition of MPS, it will examine the bancassurance agreements between Siena and the French group, with the aim of terminating the partnership and integrating Axa MPS Vita and Axa MPS Danni into its own insurance operations, subject to the necessary authorisations.

Dialogue with the ECB: an integration plan within six months

In line with transactions of this scale, the ECB has set out a series of post-acquisition reporting requirements. The first is an integration plan (covering capital and funding impacts, ICT and cybersecurity, governance and monitoring) to be implemented within six months of taking control of MPS. The other requirement would apply should the level of participation fall below two-thirds of MPS’s share capital – that is, should Ca’ de Sass not have control of the extraordinary general meeting: in this case, the ECB recommends submitting, within one month of gaining control, a detailed plan for the implementation of the Unipol Agreement.

The employment situation: excluding involuntary departures, 6,800 new hires are expected

On the employment front, Intesa Sanpaolo confirms in the document what its CEO, Carlo Messina, has already reiterated. There will therefore be no involuntary staff reductions or substantial unilateral changes to contracts with negative effects on employment: neither at MPS, nor at its subsidiaries, nor in the division that will be transferred to Intesa itself. Instead, the plan provides for around 6,800 voluntary redundancies and an equal number of new hires, of which around 2,700 will be sales advisers.

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Siena, the MPS brand and the new technology hub

Particular attention is being paid to Siena’s future. The bank explicitly states in its prospectus its intention to create a city-based technology hub dedicated to application management, thereby strengthening its ties with the University, and to bolster its management functions in the region, with the possibility of opening a new sales office in Tuscany. There are also plans to establish a secondary office for the group’s central functions in Siena, housing governance and specialist functions, alongside a commitment to increasing the volume of lending in the region.

The partnership with BPER

As is well known, BPER will take on around half of MPS’s branch network: this is the so-called ‘NewBank Compendium’, which will retain the MPS brand, the branch network, the head office and the central facilities. The merger of NewBank and Unipol-led BPER would create an operator with over 2,600 MPS-branded branches (compared with around 1,260 at present), combining Unipol’s expertise in bancassurance with Arca’s in asset management. The same principle of job protection will apply within the Unipol group, with Siena serving as the management hub for central and southern Italia.

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