Market

Investment: Europe, Asia and the UK attract capital

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3' min read

3' min read

After a two-year period marked by macroeconomic uncertainty, rate hikes and geopolitical volatility, the global real estate market is entering a new, more stable and potentially investment-friendly phase. These are the findings of the Global Real Estate Outlook Mid-Year 2025 published by M&G Real Estate, according to which the current conjuncture represents a 'window of cyclical opportunity', with Europe, the UK and Asia emerging as strategic hubs for capital reallocation.

Driving this shift are several converging factors: on the one hand, the context of falling interest rates, a more restrained development pipeline and the consequent recalibration of valuations; on the other, a new investment geography dictated also by political and fiscal uncertainty in the United States, which is prompting investors to look more strongly at more cohesive and predictable markets.

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"We are facing a structural transformation in global real estate investment," explains Martin Towns, Global Head of M&G Real Estate. "The market, while still selective, offers opportunities for those with a long-term view. Current conditions allow access to quality assets at values close to the cycle lows. A rare situation, which opens up margins for value-add strategies and sustainable returns over time'.

The key sectors

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M&G's analysis confirms the centrality of logistics and living, but also underlines the resurgence of interest in office and retail spaces - provided they are prime, ESG-compliant and offer a high user experience. In parallel, the race for data centres, an asset class increasingly central to the digital transition and the growth of artificial intelligence, is strengthening.

In residential housing, in particular, there is a renewed commitment of investors to diversified formulas: student housing, affordable housing, urban build-to-rent. The approach, notes M&G, is increasingly consumer-oriented: 'Occupants are willing to pay a premium for services, comfort and quality, especially in the prime and super prime segments.

Italy confirms attractiveness

Italy is also competitively positioned in the new global scenario. According to Gabriele Inglese, Director Investment and Asset Management for Italy at M&G Real Estate, "despite the uncertain macro context, our market continues to offer opportunities, especially in the living and logistics segments. The cities of the North, and Milan in particular, are confirmed as reference hubs, with solid fundamentals and a progressive maturation of supply and demand.

In Q1 2025, logistics take-up exceeded 500,000 sqm, with vacancy rates below the EU average. Rental residential remains buoyant, driven by an urban demand that rewards core assets. But it is student housing that shows the most significant growth margins: over 2 million students in Italy, with a growing demand from international users and an estimated need for 250,000 new beds.

University cities such as Florence, Bologna and Milan - favourite destinations for mobility programmes - attract stable flows and offer attractive returns for those investing in modern, localised, high-standard solutions. And while residential is polarising, retail parks are emerging as a counter-cyclical bet: 'accessible, resilient, able to attract flows even in phases of economic uncertainty'.

The new priorities

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The M&G report highlights how investors are recalibrating their strategies by focusing on tangible assets capable of generating stable income. Geographic and sector diversification, along with the search for structural resilience, are driving new allocations. Core strategies remain central, but the current environment offers room for well-positioned value-add trades, especially in European markets yet to be saturated.

In Europe, the push for strategic autonomy, increased public spending on defence and infrastructure, and the energy and digital transition are acting as drivers for the real estate sector, integrating it into new industrial trajectories. In Asia, on the other hand, it is regional cohesion and China's fiscal stimulus that supports intra-area growth.

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