Cbre's analysis

Investments with the 'turbo': +129% in Q1. Growth in all sectors

In the first three months of this year, investments exceeded EUR 2.8 billion. All asset classes - from logistics and hotels to retail, offices and living - show signs of strong recovery, thanks to the normalisation of monetary policies, repricing processes and the return of investor confidence

by Laura Cavestri

Cantiere a Milano

3' min read

3' min read

2025 opens positively for investments in Italian commercial real estate. Investment volumes in the first three months of the year amounted to more than EUR 2.8 billion, +129% compared to the same period in 2024. This is a snapshot provided by Cbre.
The normalisation of the ECB's monetary policies has triggered a process of revitalisation of investments, encouraged by the reduction in the cost of capital and the results of the repricing processes. The strong performance of the occupier markets further strengthened investor appetite, supporting a recovery in investments across all asset classes.

Theindustrial & logistics market, with EUR 634 million invested in the first quarter, ranks as the top asset class, up 125% over the same period last year. Volumes were driven by platform and value-add deals, the latter fuelled by strong capital availability for this sector. Despite the gradual normalisation of demand, the Italian market remains one of the best performing in Europe, with absorption volumes significantly above the historical average. At the same time, the competitive returns offered downstream from the repricing processes of the past few years help to keep investor appetite for this sector high.

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The hotels market also continued to perform strongly, with volumes of EUR 619m (+149% compared to Q1 2024). In the past three months, the market was again characterised by intense activity in the value-add segment for upscale and luxury properties. Private capital and family offices contributed significantly to these volumes, approaching the sector with an increasingly entrepreneurial outlook and developing new product through repositioning or conversion of existing properties.

Continuing last year's results, the retail market continues its expansionary phase, with investments of EUR 532 million, up 815% from the first quarter of last year. In the high street segment, the interest of family offices and occupiers in the most prestigious locations remains very high, as witnessed by the large transactions recorded this quarter. Investor interest in out-of-town formats also continued to return, led by a major factory outlet transaction this quarter. Investment activity continued at a steady pace in the grocery sector, where the expansion of large retail chains continues to fuel demand for space.

In the office market, investment volume in the first quarter amounted to EUR 506m, slightly up on the same period last year (+2%). Investor appetite for the more central markets of Milan and Rome remains strong, but held back by the limited availability of stabilised product. In this context, value-add transactions are also still attractive, thanks to occupiers' increasing demand for space and the lack of quality product. The excellent entry points offered downstream of repricing and the improvement in investor confidence in the sector's fundamentals have also contributed to the return of investment in secondary markets, where properties with solid leases and competitive yields can be found.

In the first quarter of 2025, the alternative sector recorded investments of EUR 272 million, up 447% compared to the first quarter of 2024. The appetite for operating assets supported by excellent fundamentals continues to drive investor interest in this sector, as evidenced by transactions in the telecommunications infrastructure segment in recent months. The pipeline for the coming months in this sector remains very strong, mainly due to the return of deals in thehealth segment, after a period of rebalancing in operating performance, following significant cost increases post covid.

The development of the living sector also continued, with investment volumes doubling compared to the same period last year, totalling EUR 205 million invested in the first three months of 2025. Intense demand for housing in major metropolitan cities is helping to fuel investments aimed at acquiring or developing income-producing properties, particularly in the student housing and serviced apartments segments, but the purchase of properties for fractional sales of flats also remains strong. Development activity in the student housing sector is proceeding intensively, but we are still a long way from satisfying the demand of out-of-town and foreign students, especially in the face of growing enrolment in major university cities.

"After years characterised by a very selective attitude towards the sectors and geographies in which to invest, the climate of investor confidence detected in recent months has translated into greater diversification in the Italian market," said Silvia Gandellini, head of capital markets Italy at Cbre. In the first quarter of 2025, all asset classes recorded an increase in investment volumes. The focus on properties capable of responding to the diversified needs of occupiers continues to fuel strong investment demand across all sectors, especially in operational real estate; however, geopolitical uncertainty remains the main focus of attention on market trends during 2025'.

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