Provisional estimate

Inflation: March rises to 1.7%, shopping trolley at 2.2%

Price developments were mainly affected by the sharp rise in regulated and unregulated energy prices and the acceleration of unprocessed food prices

by Rome Editorial Staff

Turisti fanno acquisti in una bancarella a Campo de Fiori,  Roma ANSA

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

In March, inflation recorded a change of +0.5% on a monthly basis and +1.7% on an annual basis, from +1.5% in the previous month. This is the provisional estimate by Istat. The tendential rate of change in the prices of food, household and personal care shows a moderate acceleration: from +2% to +2.2%.

Severe rise in energy prices

According to preliminary ISTAT estimates, in March 2026 the national consumer price index for the entire community, gross of tobacco products, recorded a change of +0.5% on a monthly basis and +1.7% on an annual basis (up from +1.5% in the previous month). The inflation trend, it is stressed, is mainly affected by the sharp rise in the prices of energy products - regulated (from -11.6% to -1.3%) and unregulated (from -6.2% to -2.4%) - and the acceleration of those of unprocessed food (from +3.7% to +4.4%).

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Lower prices for recreational and cultural services

Prices for Recreational, Cultural and Personal Care Services (from +4.9% to +3.0%), Transport Services (from +2.8% to +2.4%) and Housing Services (from +4.5% to +4.2%) slowed down instead. In March, Istat adds, the 'core inflation', net of energy and fresh food, shows a slowdown (from +2.4% to +1.9%), as well as that net of energy goods only (from +2.5% to +2.1%). Prices of goods accelerated significantly year-on-year (from -0.1% to +0.7%), while prices of services decreased their growth rate (from +3.6% to +2.8%). The differential between the services and goods sectors thus decreases from +3.8 percentage points to +2.1 percentage points.

On a monthly basis, the overall index was mainly impacted by price increases in Energy, regulated (+8.9%) and non-regulated (+4.6%), Transport-related services (+0.7%) and Unprocessed food (+0.4%). The effects of these increases were only partly offset by the fall in prices for Recreational, cultural and personal care services (-1.2%). Also according to preliminary estimates, the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) showed a change of +1.6% on a monthly basis, due to the end of seasonal balances that the NIC does not take into account, and +1.5% on an annual basis (stable compared to the previous month).

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