Italians do not give up chocolate, but the price race changes consumption
High cocoa prices increase by double digits and household expenditure rises by 8.4 per cent. But while purchased quantities drop by 7 per cent the high-end and private labels gain market share
Key points
Giving up chocolates and pralines under the Christmas tree? For Italians, no way, despite the fact thatchocolate is one of the foodstuffs most affected by the cost of living. In October, according to ISTAT, prices on the shelves were 10% higher than in the same month of 2024, when chocolates and pralines had already risen by 7%, while snacks and bars were up 15% (source: Circana), in a market, that of the large-scale retail trade, worth EUR 1.7 billion, half of which was generated by bars and bars (source: Niq).
However, the festive season seems to bring a breath of fresh air to chocolate producers, for whom the last few years have been anything but easy.
Perfect storm over cocoa
The cocoa industry has experienced an unprecedented crisis: growing global demand has had to contend with reduced harvests due to extreme weather events, plant diseases and ageing crops. The shortage of raw material, combined with financial speculation, caused quotations to soar, which tripled in three years, reaching an all-time high in 2024. In 2025, the trend was deflationary but levels remain double those of 2022/23 (source: Areté).
"The first signs of the 2025 festive season are showing a greater tolerance for price increases, confirming the power of ritual habits, the importance of gifts and the appreciation for limited editions offered by many companies," says Marco Pellizzoni, commercial director of YouGov Shopper.
Yougov: most frequent purchases
Chocolate manufacturers reacted by first amortising a large part of the costs, then by making 'defensive' choices (such as 'trimming' packaging and simplifying product ranges) and finally by adjusting prices, which according to YouGov rose by an average of 17% year-on-year.


