Data from the German-Italian Chamber of Commerce

Italia-Germany, trade ok but fears for the future

Third best result ever in 2025. Buch: 'Businesses on alert for energy prices'

by Luca Orlando

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

One hundred and fifty-eight billion, the third best result ever. The latest figures for trade between Italia and Germany confirm, on the one hand, the slight recovery after the slowdown of 2024, and on the other hand, the great mutual relevance that has now been consolidated, a sign of the strong interconnection between the manufacturing and economies of Rome and Berlin.

The German-Italian Chamber of Commerce's elaboration shows a 1.2% growth in trade, a boost linked first and foremost to the progress of exports recorded by Italia, recovering by 1.2 billion compared to the 2024 figures, which had seen a more significant fall, close to four billion euro.

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Progress can also be seen by looking at our purchases, i.e. Berlin's exports to Italia, which rose by 0.7%. Connections that remain crucial, bearing in mind that in terms of interchange, Germany is the first foreign market for us, far outstripping the second in the ranking, France, which stands at EUR 112 billion. Italia, however, remains in the top positions even looking at it from the opposite perspective, with Rome in sixth place in terms of trade if the point of view is that of Berlin, where it is China that excels (252 billion).

Transport equipment and chemicals are once again the heaviest areas in absolute terms, sectors in which our trade balance with Germany is historically negative. This is reversed for the other sectors in the ranking, with foodstuffs and steel where Italia is in the black.

Transport, agri-food and mechanics are the three sectors that explain the growth in trade between the two countries in 2025.

Looking at the territorial distribution of import-export, there is no match among the Italian regions, with Lombardy developing almost 53 billion in counter value, one third of the total trade. Surpassing not only other Italian territories but also German manufacturing areas such as Bayern and Baden-Württemberg.

While the recent picture is positive, today's climate among companies is quite different in light of the new geopolitical picture created by the US and Israeli attacks on Iran and the consequent surge in energy prices.

'If before this crisis growth in Germany was expected to be in the order of one point,' explains Jörg Buck, Managing Director of the German-Italian Chamber of Commerce, 'now the estimates are revised downwards and this progress is at risk. The situation for companies is critical, especially for SMEs, with major concerns on the cost side, especially energy'. Businesses, all the more so at this stage, are calling for a simplification of the regulatory framework, so as to facilitate business and boost the overall efficiency of the economic system.

'Action is needed on the price of energy,' Buck adds, 'and then on regulations and red tape. In the same way, it would be useful to strongly relaunch the internal market: a single energy market, if realised, would certainly bring benefits in terms of price'.

Looking at the trade figures between Italia and Germany in any case, the system confirms that it is solid and structured, even to face this latest challenge. 'The growth in trade confirms the resilience of the business system,' he adds, 'and recent growth is visible in several sectors. There is therefore a solid base of relations, which bodes well for the future'.

 

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