CENTRAL BANKS

Japan: interest rates rise to 1%, the highest they have been in over 30 years

from our correspondent Marco Masciaga

Il vice governatore della Bank of Japan Shinichi Uchida  REUTERS

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Key points

  • The impact of the US-Iran war

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

NEW DELHI - In a widely anticipated move, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised interest rates on Tuesday to their highest level since 1995 and signalled a further step towards normalising its monetary policy in the future.

The BoJ’s key interest rate rose by a quarter of a percentage point to 1 per cent. The vote on the rate hike ended with seven votes in favour and one against, with board member Toichiro Asada, a ‘dove’ appointed by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, casting the dissenting vote.

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Governor Kazuo Ueda did not attend the board meeting, as he has been in hospital for several days. This is the first time since an emergency meeting in 2010 that the central bank’s board has met without the governor. Ueda did not vote, but he made his position known to the board members.

The impact of the US-Iran war

This is the first rate rise since last December and brings the Bank of Japan into line with other central banks that are adopting a more restrictive monetary policy to combat inflation caused by the war in the Middle East.

“Compared with the previous meeting,” explained Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida – the risk of a sharp deterioration in the economy has diminished. On the contrary, price rises are spreading to an increasing number of goods and services.”

Inflationary pressures

Producer prices in May rose by 6.3% compared with a year ago, the sharpest increase in three years. Consumer prices have fallen below the 2% target thanks to government subsidies, but it is widely believed that in the coming months they are set to rise above the level considered optimal by the BoJ.

“Given that medium- and long-term inflation expectations have also continued to rise, there is a risk that core inflation may deviate upwards from our target,” reads a statement from the Bank of Japan.

Next steps

According to Hirofumi Suzuki, chief FX strategist at SMBC, ‘the Bank of Japan is likely to continue raising interest rates at a steady pace every 6 to 12 months’.

Owing to the persistent weakness of the yen – which, in a country that imports almost all the energy it consumes, is amplifying the inflationary effects of the oil crisis – some analysts expect a further rise to 1.25% by the end of the year.

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