Markets

Stock markets: fears over the tech sector resurface in Europe. Asia is deep in the red

Banca Ifis shares plummet following a profit warning and substantial provisions. Oil prices fall, whilst gold remains weak. The euro is largely unchanged and the spread remains stable at 74 points

by Ivan Torneo and Stefania Arcudi

Foto:  Spencer Platt/Getty Images/AFP

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European stock markets are trading lower, whilst volatility in the tech sector is rising following the surge in memory chip costs, highlighted by the price rises announced by Apple yesterday. Tech stocks are also being affected by rumours of a possible delay to OpenAI’s IPO, which could be postponed until next year – a development that, amongst other things, would weigh on SoftBank’s returns, with its shares falling as much as 13% (SoftBank is one of OpenAI’s main investors, and expectations of a massive windfall linked to the IPO had driven its shares to record levels). Consequently, the FTSE MIB in Milan, which, having fallen below the 52,000-point mark, is now slipping towards 51,000, and the CAC 40 in Paris, the DAX 40 in Frankfurt, the IBEX 35 in Madrid, the AEX in Amsterdam and the FTSE 100 in London.

With few significant macroeconomic data releases today, investors are also turning their attention to the Middle East. A Singapore-flagged vessel was attacked by Iranian forces in the Strait of Hormuz, putting the agreement between Washington and Tehran to the test, according to two senior US officials. “We are aware of these reports and are reviewing them,” the White House said. According to the team at ANZ Research, the incident raises “new doubts about the sustainability of the recovery in oil supply”. Meanwhile, discontent is growing within OPEC, with Iraq threatening yesterday to leave the organisation if it is not allowed to produce more oil.

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Banca Ifis shares plummet following profit warning and provisions

Banca Ifis has seen a sharp fall, losing over 20% after failing to find a price at the opening following the issue of a profit warning. The market did not react well to the news that the bank has launched a competitive process for the sale of its NPL business with a view to deconsolidation, aiming to accelerate the transformation of its business model into one even more specialised in financial services for businesses. At the same time, the company has revised downwards its profit guidance for the 2026 financial year, now forecast at between 100 and 110 million euros (down from the previous range of 170 to 190 million), with this reduction not including the effects associated with the planned deconsolidation of the NPL portfolio. Furthermore, a provision totalling €70 million has been approved, specifically around €30 million relating to credit exposures, equivalent to 0.20% of total credit assets (this provision was proactively adopted following the preliminary findings of the general inspection conducted by the Bank of Italy) and further provisions of €40 million relating to securitised exposures in illimity’s NPL portfolio. The transaction aims to strengthen coverage levels and supports the Bank’s de-risking strategy.

Impact of rising chip prices on tech stocks; St down

On the Milan Stock Exchange, the spotlight is on the tech sector, with sell-offs in Asia spilling over into Europe and causing Stmicroelectronics among the worst performers on the main index. Also down are Saipem and Azimut . The focus is also on the banking sector, whilst questions mount over the future of interest rates, and as developments in the ‘Risiko’ case are awaited. Unipol has convened an extraordinary general meeting for 30 July to approve a capital increase of up to €2.5 billion, which will be used to finance the acquisition of 635 MPS branches in partnership with Intesa, following its public takeover bid for the Siena-based bank.

Oil prices fall, gold remains weak. Euro little changed

In the commodities market, August Brent crude is trading at $74.1 per barrel (-1.5%) following a slight surge yesterday evening – after the attack on Hormuz – with a peak of close to $76. WTI for the same delivery month stands at $70.7 (-1.7%). Spot gold is trading weakly at $4,008 an ounce (-0.4%). In the currency markets, the euro is at $1.1374 (up from $1.1372 the previous day). The single currency is also trading at 183.8 yen (down from 183.9), whilst the dollar stands at 161.6 yen (down from 161.7).

Spread stable at 74 points, 10-year yield falls to 3.58%

Yields on Eurozone government bonds fell only slightly during the final trading session of the week. The yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp, maturing on 1 February 2036, fell to 3.58% from 3.60% at the previous day’s close. The spread against the German Bund with the same maturity remained stable at 74 basis points, in line with the previous close.

Circuit breaker in Seoul, Kospi down 8%

The South Korean stock exchange triggered the circuit breaker for its benchmark Kospi index, following a slump in share prices caused by a sharp fall in the value of tech giants. Trading in shares listed on the Kospi was suspended for 20 minutes. This is the fifth time this year.

The Korean Stock Exchange (KRX) triggered the measure after the index had plummeted by more than 8 per cent compared with the previous session’s close. The KOSPI came under selling pressure as investors sold off large-cap technology shares to take profits.

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Asian markets fall; Tokyo drops 4.15%

Overall, all Asian stock markets are recording sharp falls, driven by heavy losses in South Korea, but also in Japan, whilst traders are selling to lock in the gains made from the recent rises in artificial intelligence-related shares.
The Nikkei 225 index in Tokyo closed the session down 4.15%, whilst Seoul’s Kospi plummeted, as previously reported, to as low as 8.4 per cent. Both the Nikkei and the Kospi had hit all-time highs at the start of the week. The sharp fluctuations in both markets reflect the recent volatility in technology shares, which is creating tensions across the tech industry, as demonstrated by the case of Apple being forced to revise its prices upwards, with investors reacting to the huge influx of capital into AI data centres and other related investments, which is creating tensions in the markets.

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