The report

Leases, it is an emergency in Italy. But multifamily does not take off

The report. 65% of rentals are in municipalities with high housing tension. Volumes are growing, yet build-to-rent is struggling to develop. Although ours is among the European countries with the highest gross residential yields (+7.7%)

4' min read

4' min read

These days there is alarm about the possibility of paying rent for a single person in large cities. In some, then, not even a young couple can cope with rents that exceed the average affordability. This is what emerges from an analysis by Immobiliare.it Insights, which compared the monthly amount that a person can allocate for rent - no more than 30% of their average net income - with the average rent required for a two-room apartment in large cities. The most difficult city is Florence, where the average monthly asking price is €1,066, but the budget available to a single person on average does not exceed €480. Milan has the highest rent - over 1,320 euro per month - and although the budget available is the largest, at just over 650 euro, it is insufficient.

A locked market

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The answers lie, on the one hand, in social housing and, on the other, in multifamily, i.e. investment in the residential sector by large institutional investors who then reserve rent for families and singles. The report "Una casa per tutti: la locazione in Italia", prepared by Scenari Immobiliari in collaboration with AbitareCo, and which Il Sole 24 Ore is able to anticipate, is dedicated precisely to this sector.

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The location photograph

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Approximately 6.8 million homes are used for rental in Italy by residents and continuous users, in addition to which there are approximately 700,000 residential units for short-term rental, 21% of the total housing stock (19% if we consider only ordinary rental). Of the more than 1.1 million ordinary contracts signed every year in our country, more than 65% concern houses located in municipalities with high housing tension (a.t.a.). If this number describes the flows and pressures, not only of property but also of interest, of certain areas of the national reality - in particular of the 14 metropolitan cities that absorb 45% (30% considering the total number) - on the other hand, the complementary volumes, concerning minor centres with high supply and limited demand, describe a market more than ever linked to an economic need and the inability of families to access mortgages.

Multifamily still

"In spite of this, the multifamily sector is struggling to develop for cultural reasons," comment Scenari Immobiliari, "which are struggling to be changed because closed deals are very limited and concentrated in a few national realities, especially Milan. This does not allow for the experimentation that leads to changing habits on the demand side and, on the supply side, does not allow for the creation of economies of scale in the supply chain, both in terms of investment and realisation and in terms of management".

Investments

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In 2023, thanks to a positive fourth quarter in which the investment volume stood at just under EUR 2.9 billion, realigning with the average of previous years, allocations reached EUR 6.5 billion, some 45 percentage points below the figure recorded in 2022 (EUR 12 billion), which, together with 2019, represents a record year for Italy. About 65% of the capital originated from international investors (more than half from Europe and about a quarter from North America).

With investments amounting to around EUR 210 million in the last quarter of 2023, of which just over EUR 180 million were located in Milan (it had been EUR 130 million in the previous quarter), and a total volume of EUR 700 million (around 11% of the total), residential asset classes continue to be catalysts of interest for investors, operators and developers of private equity funds operating in the domestic real estate market, especially for the Build to Rent (BtR), Build to Sell (BtS) and student housing segments.

If the investment volumes were to include buildings involved in construction projects aimed at residential conversion - as in the case of a number of changes of use from office to residential in suburban areas in Milan, but also in Genoa, Bologna and Rome - the total value of investments could reach EUR 1 billion. If land and ongoing developments were added to this, it would exceed EUR 1.25 billion, the report says.

VOLUMES AND YIELDS

Contracts on the rise
In 2023 the number of new rental contracts in Italy reached 1.14 million units, 4.1% more than in 2022 but 5% less than in 2019, the high point of a five-year period of slow and continuous growth. Forecasts for the current year indicate a consolidation of the level reached. The growth in volumes will be accompanied by a slight increase in rents (+1.5% nationwide, bringing the average reference value to 82 €/sqm/year).

Italy leads the EU in yields
According to the report by Scenari Immobiliari, rental yields in the residential sector are 4.5 and 5 per cent in Milan and Rome respectively, where there is the greatest housing tension. But international rankings such as that of Global Property, which consider average levels in top areas and homes attractive to globetrotter buyers, place Italy among the countries with the highest gross residential yields, with a rental yield of 7.67% against France's 4.56%, Germany's 3.74% and Spain's 6.17%.

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