Istat

Life expectancy for those aged 65 at the maximum: will be used to update pension requirements

According to the newly updated ISTAT tables for 2025, the highest life expectancy at age 65 since the beginning of the time series (2002) has been reached, at 21.4 years, a still provisional figure that will be updated in December

 stock.adobe.com

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The increase in age for accessing the old age pension and in contributions for accessing the early retirement pension is linked to the life expectancy calculated for those aged 65.

According to the newly updated ISTAT tables for 2025, the highest life expectancy at age 65 since the beginning of the time series (2002) has been reached, at 21.4 years (21.2 in 2024), a still provisional figure that will be updated in December.

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Life expectancy at age 65 has increased by 1.4 years compared to 2020, a year in which life expectancy with the pandemic collapsed compared to 2019 when it was 21 years.

Compared to 2015, life expectancy at age 65 increased by 1.1 years.

Calculation of old-age and early retirement requirements in 2029

In order to calculate the age step for the old age pension and contribution requirements for the early retirement pension in 2029 (step after 2027), the two-year period 2023/2024 will have to be compared with the two-year period 2025/2026 in terms of life expectancy at age 65.

How the adjustment mechanism works

Under the Italia system, the eligibility requirements for old age and early retirement pensions are revised every two years, based on the change in life expectancy certified by ISTAT for those aged 65.

It is an automatic mechanism introduced by the Fornero reform: if you live longer, you work longer. In order to calculate the 2029 step, the figures for 2023-2024 will be compared with those for 2025-2026. If the positive trend continues, as is expected, this will result in a further tightening of the requirements. The 2024 data already stood at 21.2 years, the highest value in the last five years.

What changes from 2027

After eight years of substantial stability, 2026 will be the last year without change. From 1 January 2027, a first one-month increase will be triggered, followed by a further two-month increase from 1 January 2028.

The schedule of increases is as follows: the old age pension goes from 67 years to 67 years and 1 month in 2027, then to 67 years and 3 months in 2028; the ordinary early retirement pension for men goes from 42 years and 10 months to 42 years and 11 months in 2027, then to 43 years and 2 months in 2028; the ordinary early retirement pension for women goes from 41 years and 10 months to 41 years and 11 months in 2027, then to 42 years and 2 months in 2028.

The increases were confirmed by the Budget Law 2026, which failed to block the adjustments linked to life expectancy, as some had hoped. Seeing the new Istat data, as already mentioned, the retirement age could increase further from 2029.

Who is excluded from the increases

Not all workers will be subject to the same steps. Exempted or partially protected categories include:

heavy-duty workers (e.g. those who work continuously at night); heavy-duty workers (e.g. construction workers, steelworkers and drivers of heavy goods vehicles); early career workers in special protection status: long-term unemployed, invalids and family caregivers.

For the latter, access to early retirement with 41 years of contributions will be subject to smaller increases: 41 years and 1 month in 2027 and 41 years and 3 months in 2028.

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