Conjuncture

Liguria, exports continue despite US tariffs

Positive expectations for production and orders in Q3 2025, according to the Ligurian Confindustria survey on manufacturing

by Raoul de Forcade

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The introduction of American tariffs represents a very bad premise for exports, consumption and investments in Italy; but positive news comes from the partial return of the price of oil, from contained inflation and from the path of interest rate cuts undertaken in the Eurozone. These are all elements that tend to make companies moderately optimistic at a national level and that support, also in Liguria, the climate of confidence among companies in the manufacturing sectors, which remains optimistic. This is recorded in the economic survey on the performance of Ligurian industry in the third quarter of 2025, prepared by the Confindustria Liguria research office, which underlines, among other things, how, "in a framework of uncertainty in international trade", expectations on production and orders remain "in positive territory". And the confidence of Ligurian companies also appears high on employment.

Going into the details of the individual product sectors, the report states, "the climate of confidence among Ligurian engineering companies is improving. Export forecasts are not affected by the imposition of tariffs, and production is also expected to grow in the quarter in question. Orders and employment are also good".

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The sentiment among the food industries also continues to be optimistic. "Turnover and orders," reads the study, "remain in positive territory; production is expected to increase, despite uncertainty about export performance, the indicator for which, however, remains above par. Employment is on the rise.

Building and construction materials sectors are bucking the trend. Here 'turnover is expected to slow down over the next few months', as 'the effects of the government bonus and construction sites linked to the NRP have come to an end. Above all, the activity of companies working across borders is declining'. Employment, however, Confindustria notes, 'is holding up'.

According to companies in the electronics, automation and information technology sector, exports are "still expected to expand". They also foresee "moderate growth in orders and production, which is associated with "confidence in the expansion of the workforce". The forecasts of companies in the plastics-rubber and textile industry are "on the whole stationary": in both cases, production, orders and exports are expected to increase slightly in the short term.

In the shipbuilding industry, then, one of Liguria's leading sectors, 'the climate of confidence remains at high levels, both in terms of production and turnover. And there are no signs of a slowdown in the trend'. There is also optimism about employment, 'expected to expand'. The indicator on exports and orders in general (from Italy and abroad) is also on the rise.

In the Confindustria survey, the expectations of the chemical-pharmaceutical sector are on the rise (even if the news of Trump's tariffs came later): the indications for the quarter "are of a moderate increase in orders and production, also thanks to a growing export". Employment levels "are on the rise".

The survey also goes into the details of the territories. As far as the Metropolitan City of Genoa is concerned, "confidence among companies remains optimistic. The indicators for orders and exports have remained at high levels". Expectations for employment growth are also positive, while production is rising.

In the Province of La Spezia, 'the positive expectations of shipbuilding companies keep confidence high in terms of production, turnover and orders. But on exports, expectations are of stability. Employment is good'.

Optimism leaks out from the forecasts of Savona companies 'about the trend of economic activity in the next three months: production and turnover remain in positive territory. Exports are also expected to grow, linked to the rise in orders'.

On the contrary, Imperia's manufacturing companies predict that the next quarter will not be easy: 'exports are expected to contract. Production will hold up for the quarter, but turnover and orders are down'.

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