Letter to the saver

Lu-Ve: the Italian mid cap betting on the data centre boom

On the one hand, the focus on the growing - also in the wake of Artificial Intelligence (AI) - data centre sector. On the other hand, the pursuit of greater efficiencies in production and logistics.

by Vittorio Carlini

6' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

6' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

On the one hand, the focus on the growing - also in the wake of Artificial Intelligence (AI) - data centre sector. On the other, the continuation along the path of greater efficiencies in production and logistics. All this with orders tending to increase in average size and specificity. This is how some aspects of Luve's business can be summarised.

Social Object

Yes, the business. The mid cap, listed in the Star segment of the Italian stock exchange and of which Lettera al Risparmiatore heard from top management, divides - in terms of product categories - its revenues into three areas. The first (50.2 per cent of total turnover in 2024) is represented by so-called Ventilated Appliances. These are heat exchangers to which further solutions are coupled: from enclosures to maximise the performance of the exchangers themselves to fans to - for example - optimise heat exchange. The second, on the other hand, are heat exchangers (45.8%) which - to put it simply - consist of a system which, on the one hand - thanks to the passage of fluids through the tubes of particular components (e.g. CO2) - transfers, or removes, heat from the environment; and which, on the other hand, is part of a larger appliance (e.g. refrigerated counter in a supermarket). Finally, residual, is the third front: glass doors (2.6%) used, among other things, in refrigerated counters.

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ESERCIZI A CONFRONTO

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RICAVI E PRODOTTI

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RICAVI ED APPLICAZIONI

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FLUSSI DI CASSA

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Data Centres

Well: among the company's priorities is - precisely - pushing the data centre business. These, due to the large amount of energy used to handle data and make calculations, produce heat. Cooling systems are therefore necessary. Against this Lu-Ve wants to be in the game. In 2024, the revenue generated by this sector was around 7% of the company's turnover. By the end of 2025, the incidence is expected to reach 12-13%. But it is in 2026 that - according to the group - the real acceleration should take place.

Why? In order to answer this question, it is necessary to explain the group's programme in this area. At the beginning of December, the company completed the expansion of its plant in China. This is a step that - together with the confirmation of the local-on-local production strategy - on the one hand allows Lu-Ve to offer refrigeration machines also externally (and not only internally as in the past); and on the other hand - allowing the creation of a more complete commercial proposal - puts the group in a good position to participate in tenders for orders. Which - in addition to power generation - are also, and above all, in data centres. Those data centres that are having a great season in America itself. Ubs estimates that hyperscalers (producers of large-scale IT infrastructures) will spend over 328 billion dollars on cloud and data centres by 2025. In such a context, Lu-Ve will, in early 2026, have a major factory expansion in Texas. This is a facility (involving a capitalised investment of around 22 million) that will serve, among other things, data centres. This is why the company expects the real acceleration on this front in the next financial year. In 2025, the sector's revenues will mainly come from projects in Europe (especially England and Ireland) and, to some extent, from China. In 2026, with the support of the third geographic front, Lu-Ve's strategy will be able to unfold its potential on the front in question (and beyond).

Doubt about return on investment

However, there is one doubt. The big investments in data centres are mainly for Ia. When, however, Deep Seek showed that it is possible to develop low-cost AI models, fears arose regarding the return on investment of hyperscalers. This could lead to a slowdown in disbursements and a decline in potential for companies in the sector, including Lu-Ve. The group rejects the fear. First of all, it points out, this is a structural trend - just think of Ia - that requires large investments. It is therefore unlikely that these will be significantly reduced. In addition, the company says, Lu-Ve in the US is starting from scratch. Consequently, notwithstanding the fact that the offer is also aimed at other sectors, each contract will be incremental. Finally: data centre cooling, the company emphasises, requires sophisticated technologies (e.g. water cooling) that require more machines from Lu-Ve itself. Therefore, no particular problem is seen with data centres.

Standardisation

On closer inspection, data centre solutions are, like other Lu-Ve products, part of a cross-company strategy that - started in the past - continues. Which is? The streamlining and standardisation of production chains. The group has platforms which, with regard to data centre cooling systems, for example, allow the production of machines that for about 70% are standardised while for 30% require ad hoc specifications. It is an ecosystem that allows for considerable synergies, especially in terms of purpose. The company, depending on production needs, has the flexibility to reallocate production. More. Product engineering is also subject to the same form of duttibility. In short: the focus is relevant and the goal, in the medium term, is to bring the standard part - where possible - to 75-80%. But it is not only a question of production in the strict sense. A relevant focus, in 2025, is logistics. The company - which, it should be remembered, has organised itself on the matrix model with 11 regional 'clusters' - is handling an increasing number of specific and, on average, larger orders. In view of this, the group has established the figure of the 'curator' of the same order so that overlaps and delays are avoided in the logistics area as well. the company expects savings from this system, although it does not give any indication for 2025.

The chaos of tariffs

All roses and flowers, then? The reality is more difficult. The saver expresses much concern about the tariffs chaos unleashed by Donald Trump. A context that may impact Lu-Ve. The company, although aware of the potential risks of the situation, makes a profession of trust. On the one hand, the bulk of its business - is the indication - is directed towards the Old Continent; on the other hand, there are few European customers exporting to the US. More. The company emphasises - as the commitments on plants in China and America show - that its business is local on local. Which very much contains the danger of tariffs. Of course! With respect to the same factory in Texas, says Lu-Ve, part of the supply was assumed to come from Mexico. The question now is what is the best solution. This last aspect, however, the mid-cap concludes, concerns the same competitors operating in the US. It is not, therefore, specific to the Italian company alone. Having said that, however, a further objection may be raised: the tariffs war risks holding back, or sending Europe into recession and thus - by inducing lower investment in, for example, the residential sector - reducing demand for the group's products. True, says Lu-Ve who, however, replies: to date there is no sign of this in the sector; furthermore, tax plans - such as those of Germany - will produce positive effects and it is not certain that the most negative scenarios will materialise. In general, however, the company concludes, it is too early to give an indication of future prospects.

Prospettive

So far, some suggestions regarding data centres, efficiencies and tariff-related risks. What, however, are the prospects for the various product sectors? On the heat exchanger front, we can note the good dynamics in commercial refrigeration - in the wake, for example, of investments in supermarkets -, tumble dryers, and signs of recovery in heat pumps (revenues in 2025 estimated at around 22.8 million). Weak, on the contrary, is the world of industrial cooling (net of data centres). It is a mix of dynamics which, Lu-Ve indicates, lead to an estimated growth in 2025 of heat exchangers in the high single-digit percentage range. The situation for ventilated appliances is different. Here the tailwind is being driven by data centres and refrigeration for, among other things, logistics and power generation. Weak, on the other hand, is air conditioning for - in Europe - large buildings. This is summed up by the group's forecast of a slight growth in the current financial year for ventilated equipment. Against this, at the consolidated level, the company estimates turnover to continue to expand slightly and Ebitda to improve over 2024. The saver, however, reports that in the first three months of 2025, the backlog is up 24.6%, but revenues are down 5.5%. This is not a worrying context, Lu-Ve indicates. Having such a strong and healthy order book shows that the business is solid and doing well. Orders, the company concludes, will turn into revenues.

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