Letter to the saver

LU-VE's strategy: more operational efficiency to support margins

Strategy. Focus on areas such as China or the Middle East against the EU's economic weakness. New factory in the USA. Share price down over the past year

by Vittorio Carlini

LU-VE Group

6' min read

6' min read

On the one hand, expansion, also with new plants, in markets such as China and the Middle East. On the other hand the search for greater operational efficiencies, both in process automation and in the procurement of raw materials. These are among LU-VE's priorities to support the business.

Social Object

.

Yes, the business. In terms of product categories, the group divides its revenues into three areas. The first is Heat Exchangers (49.4% of total revenues in 2023). These, in simple terms, consist of a system which, on the one hand - thanks to the passage of fluids through the tubes of a component (e.g. CO2) - transfers, or removes, heat from the environment; and which, on the other hand, constitutes a part of a larger appliance (e.g. refrigerated supermarket counters). The second area is ventilated appliances (46.2% of turnover). This includes heat exchangers combined with fans, which together constitute appliances in their own right. Finally, although residual, there is the third segment: Glass doors for, among other things, refrigerated counters (2.7% of turnover in 2023).

Loading...

ESERCIZI A CONFRONTO

Loading...

Operational efficiency

.

Well, among the priorities - precisely - is the search for greater efficiencies. The group has implemented pilot projects in its factories in Poland and India, which are gradually being extended to the production base. Thus, in the field of Heat Exchangers, the automation of the welding of solutions with dimensions of less than two metres can be mentioned. In the future, the intention is to also operate machines up to four metres. On the other hand, with regard to Ventilated Appliances, next April will see the start of the use of a new system that, with particular types of products, allows for the simplification and greater standardisation of various production stages: from procurement to design to the construction itself. The advantages? Production times can be reduced by up to four weeks. In short: the commitment is significant, so much so that capital expenditure on this front is expected to be around EUR 6 million in 2024 (it had been EUR 3 million in 2023).

But it is not only a question of manufacturing processes. LU-VE aims at the same cost reduction with regard to the supply of raw materials. At present, compared to copper and aluminium - which are the most important commodities used to manufacture the products - procurement in Asia weighs around 20 per cent. The aim is to increase the incidence to around 50%, thus reducing - this is the company's indication - the cost of sales. Those charges, however, should fall - LU-VE also indicates - also thanks to the falling prices of the electronic components that end up in its products.

Internationalisation

So far the theme of efficiency. Another piece in the puzzle of LU-VE's strategy, however, is the continuous geographical diversification of the business. In this respect, it is worth mentioning that a new facility in China is scheduled to come on stream in the second half of 2024. This is an expansion of the production base by approximately 18,000 Mt2 (around 2 million investment), which will enable the group to accelerate sales in the Ventilated Appliances segment. Even with this, the group - which generated around 18 million in sales in the former Middle Kingdom in 2023 - expects turnover in that market to rise by 10-15% in the current financial year. From China to the Middle East. Another area that has recently become relevant is the Arabian Peninsula. In particular: Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. These two countries are expected to generate a combined turnover of between 15 and 20 million in 2024. This figure, however, does not take into account some large projects for which the group is bidding and which concern the construction of data centres and giga factories. Should even one of these see the participation of LU-VE - the company indicates - the turnover of the area in question could, in the medium term, double.

RENDICONTO FINANZIARIO

Loading...

The economic braking

.

All roses and flowers, then? The reality is more complicated. The saver remembers the economic dynamics, above all, of the European Union markets. Here, for example, it should be remembered that Germany - the group's leading export country - is going through a difficult time. Well: within such a scenario business investments may be restricted and, as a consequence, there may be a reduction in demand for LU-VE's products. The group, although aware of the situation, says it is able to cope with it. Firstly, it is reminded, a large part of the customers in the German market are themselves exporters. Hence, they are not so affected by local economic trends. In addition, LU-VE adds, the group has for years achieved product and geographical diversification. This, as shown for example by growth in the Middle East and expansion prospects in China, limits the risk associated with individual market trends. Finally,' says the company, 'in Europe itself, although there are weaker states such as Germany, there are others (such as France) that are doing well. Having said that, however, one cannot forget - with respect to the topic of internationalisation - that the global context is one of growing friction between the West (especially the United States) and China. A friction that threatens to negatively affect Western companies in the former Middle Kingdom, including LU-VE. The company dismisses the concern. Firstly because, is the indication, the group does not export directly to Beijing and consequently does not risk any restrictions similar to those seen in the world of microprocessors. Also because, as the recent plant expansion shows, LU-VE is perceived positively by the local authorities. And finally because, in view of the current volatility of the Beijing economy itself, the company's market share is still small. With which, the company concludes, there is ample room for growth.

RICAVI E PRODOTTI

Loading...

Product types

.

However, the saver looks at the same individual product types. Heat exchangers in 2023 saw revenues drop by 7.3%, also in the wake of the slowdown in heat pumps. A trend, the latter, which makes the nose twitch. LU-VE, regarding 'heat pumps', retorts on the one hand that these constitute a not so relevant part of the business (about 10% of revenues); and, on the other hand, that rather than a problem, it is an opportunity, which is being scaled down. A slowdown that is linked to the recent uncertainties over subsidies in the sector, despite the 'REPowerEU Plan'. Having said that, however, the company emphasises, the underlying process in favour of heat pumps remains and, therefore, there will be a recovery of the sector. In 2024, the company estimates revenues from heat pumps at around 50 million. More generally, and still with regard to the current financial year, the group expects the Heat Exchangers sector to grow in terms of volume, while - in view of falling raw material prices - turnover could be in line. On the contrary, the ventilated appliance business will increase. In 2023, this product type generated 285.2 million sales, up 10.7% compared to 2022. On this front, the company is aiming to continue its growth in the logistics centre end market with machines using natural fluids. It also looks with interest at the increasingly relevant data centre business. In this respect, among other things, the re-focusing of investments in the US can be emphasised. The company estimates outlays of around USD 20 million for a facility that will serve precisely the ventilated appliances. More generally, at the end of 2024, this product segment is expected to grow at a high single-digit percentage.

CAPITALE CIRCOLANTE NETTO

Loading...

Against this background, what then is the outlook for LU-VE's overall business in 2024? The company indicates that it expects turnover to increase slightly; profitability on the other hand - also due to efforts on operational efficiency and improvement in procurement - will be marked by an increase. Finally, the net financial position (Pfn) is estimated to fall further. The ratio of Pfn to Ebitda, as at 31.12.2023, settled at the level of 1.6 times. At the end of the current year, the indicator is expected to move towards 1.2 net of any M&A transactions.

FOCUS

Working Capital
At the end of 2023, Net Working Capital was EUR 103.6 million. This figure is worth 16.7% of revenue. In 2022, the ratio of the accounting item to turnover was 17.9%, while in 2021 it stood at 14.4%.

PURPOSE

Stock performance.

The technical analysis of the stock

Copyright reserved ©
Loading...

Brand connect

Loading...

Newsletter

Notizie e approfondimenti sugli avvenimenti politici, economici e finanziari.

Iscriviti