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Does management manage results? No, it plans for probabilities

Nella sala riunioni aziendale: un gruppo eterogeneo di soci e dirigenti d’azienda che discutono, dibattono, e pianificano la strategia.  (Adobe Stock)

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Companies set business objectives. But an objective merely indicates the desired outcome; it does not bring it about. Between the two lie decisions, behaviours and ongoing interactions that no plan can control. Management, however, can create the conditions that make that outcome more likely, by analysing the organisational context to understand what fosters it and what hinders it. Let’s look at a few examples. Launching a new product quickly requires cross-functional collaboration: if we compartmentalise objectives, budgets and information, this collaboration becomes less likely. Resolving a customer’s problem at the first point of contact requires initiative and local decision-making autonomy, but if we centralise decisions far from the customer, the likelihood of providing an immediate solution decreases. Creating a service requires innovation: if we look for someone to blame when a mistake occurs, we do not increase the likelihood that people will try new approaches. The gap between objectives and results is often the result of people correctly interpreting the real-world context. Why collaborate if individual results are rewarded? What is the point of taking the initiative if there is no decision-making autonomy? How can we innovate if doing things differently from how they have always been done is frowned upon?

Every organisational structure creates an invisible playing field that makes some actions seem natural, others costly, and others almost unthinkable. Where dissent is not encouraged or rewarded, for example, silence is likely to prevail. Where those who encounter a problem are empowered to make decisions, speed and accountability are likely to increase. Where mistakes are seen as learning opportunities, the likelihood of innovation increases. This is not determinism: people have discretion and always have room for choice. But signals guide behaviour, and repeated behaviour shapes performance.

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Is the idea that management can directly produce results not perhaps a relic of a bygone era, when the chances of achieving what had been planned were much higher? But be careful. Abandoning this illusion does not diminish managerial responsibility. Quite the contrary. It makes it broader and deeper. Management cannot directly generate results, but it can create fields of behavioural probability. It is not enough to set objectives and monitor progress: one must develop the ability to discern what, within the organisational context, increases or decreases the likelihood of achieving them. Is the purpose of the activities clear? How far apart are problems and decisions? What information, tools and skills do those who need to act have at their disposal? What is the cost of disagreeing? How much scope is there for initiative? Are mistakes shared before they become too costly? What happens to those who admit to a mistake? What is actually rewarded? Do the different functions take the initiative to ensure integration between them? Strategy takes shape in the day-to-day responses to these questions, far more so than in statements.

What would change if we adopted this perspective?

Meanwhile, what we observe is changing. Alongside monitoring the final indicators, we must also monitor how factors on the ground either facilitate or hinder our objectives. This is not about creating a new dashboard to monitor people. It is about fostering a systemic perspective amongst managers.

More specifically, for senior management, this means moving from managing the context to transforming it. No one, more so than senior management, can change the factors that increase or decrease the likelihood of achieving the desired outcome. For the business, this means bringing problems, expertise and decision-making as close together as possible. For HR, it means asking one question before every action: are we merely addressing the critical issues created by the status quo, or are we helping to drive its evolution?

We don’t need models imposed from above: we need to observe where intelligence is stifled, where energy is wasted, bring to light the unwritten rules that divert behaviour away from the expected objectives, and tackle with transparency the fear that undermines contributions and engagement. It is a process of diagnosis and experimentation that any manager can carry out with their own team.

And what about those who don’t hold a managerial role? They are not on the sidelines. Every question, every piece of information shared, every mistake used as a learning opportunity, every constructive dissent – all of these shape the playing field locally. Of course, not everyone has the same power. But the ability to influence and transform the context is widespread. This, too, can be the starting point for a different approach to management: no longer an illusory control over results, but a conscious shaping of the conditions that make everyone’s contribution more likely. The crucial question, then, for both leaders and those working within an organisation, becomes a simple one: what probabilities are we creating every day through the way we make decisions, reward, listen, react to mistakes, and distribute power and information? It is in that daily response that a strategy remains merely a declaration or becomes a possible future.

Marina Capizzi, organisational development consultant and author of *Don’t Die of Hierarchy* (Franco Angeli)

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