The word from the manager: Man Group

'Growing market share for China's Xiaomi'

The company benefits from the strong penetration of electric vehicles in China and the global smartphone segment

3' min read

3' min read

Positive outlook on the Asian region as a whole, good prospects for China in particular, while among sectors technology will still dominate. Here is a summary of the thoughts of Andrew Swan, head of Asia equities at Man Group

How do you assess the Asian market compared to Europe and the US and what are the prospects for the coming months?

A prolonged period of outperformance has led to a significant valuation gap between the US and the rest of the world, which creates an opportunity for investors to diversify their equity exposure to other markets. In this context, the Asian market looks attractive as the region is able to benefit from three key structural factors, namely a more accommodative monetary policy, further stimulus in China and the new technology product cycle.

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Do you think the economic stimulus measures carried out by Beijing are sufficient or should we expect more in the future, also in light of the repercussions of the tightening of US tariffs?

The market's initial assumption after Trump's victory is that the expected protectionist and pro-growth policy in the US will fuel higher inflation and, consequently, a shorter Fed cut cycle and a stronger dollar. A stronger dollar puts pressure on officials in Beijing to follow through on announced actions. The implications of Trump's policies remain to be seen, but the prospect of higher inflation expectations means that China will have to draw on its government budget to a greater extent than expected.

I COMPARABLES

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Japan also approved a massive plan to support the economy. What is the position on the Japanese market?

As part of our approach, we do not focus on Japan, but our colleagues who invest in Japanese equities point out that valuations remain attractive. The market has been dominated by a small group of large-cap names, creating long-term contrarian opportunities in sectors such as real estate, autos and some more domestically oriented companies.

Within the Asian region, which countries are worth betting on right now? And which ones to avoid?

We started to see a turnaround in China's earnings performance at the aggregate level, with expectations of improved corporate profitability emerging in a more expansionary policy environment. This was reflected in a pick-up in service-related consumption and an increase in demand for household appliances following the launch of an appliance replacement programme earlier this year. Although the real estate sector remains under pressure, there are signs of an improvement in market activity. Together, these factors should support China's stock market fundamentals going forward.

IL TITOLO IN BORSA

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What is your position in terms of sectors?

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We continue to positively assess the technology sector and expect the integration of artificial intelligence into consumer devices to be a key catalyst for business ch

in ce will increase revenues and margins for the first time in several years. The production of technology hardware is disproportionately concentrated on companies based in Asia, with countries such as Taiwan and South Korea, the scene in recent days of President Yoon Suk-yeol's failed coup, hosting some of the world's largest companies operating both upstream (e.g. semiconductors) and downstream (e.g. smartphones) of the production chain. The region's financial stocks also occupy a positive position in portfolios for several reasons.

IL CONFRONTO

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What is your outlook for 2025?

Looking ahead, we maintain our positive outlook on the region. Regarding China, it is important to look beyond the potential short-term volatility caused by political uncertainty and international trade concerns and focus on the firm resolve of policymakers to turn the economy around. The prospect of structural reform in China is supported by additional regional drivers from the easing of monetary policy and the anticipation of a new technology product cycle, which together reinforce our belief in the opportunities in Asia.

Which companies do you find most interesting and why?

Our stock selection is guided by a bottom-up analysis to identify stocks most likely to post earnings above estimates. Some examples of such companies are Xiaomi, a technology manufacturer benefiting from the strong penetration of electric vehicles in China and a growing market share in the global smartphone market; Aac Technologies, a provider of high-end audio components needed for the integration of Ia into consumer electronics, with continuous improvements in operational efficiency; Qifu, a leading credit-tech platform in China that provides services across the loan cycle to assist financial institutions in identifying, evaluating and managing customers in the consumer and SME channels; Bbca, the largest private bank in Indonesia, which is experiencing continuous portfolio growth.

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