Mattel: not just Barbie – more films and theme parks to boost turnover
The US toy giant wants to build an integrated, global ecosystem around its brands. There is a risk of high investment costs and tariffs
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Key points
A market on hold. This sums up investors’ current approach to Mattel. This stock market environment is, amongst other things, a consequence of the long-term performance of the US toy giant.
The setting
“Between 1981 and the present day,” explains independent technical analyst Silvio Bona, “the feature that stands out when looking at the chart is the existence of a so-called double top.” In other words: the share price reached the $42 mark in June 1998, before falling and then ‘rising again to around $47 in December 2013’. From there, the shares fell again, reaching “a low of around $6.6 in 2020”. Subsequently, largely in the wake of the boom in demand for toys during the Covid pandemic, ‘the share price quickly began to rise again, reaching a five-year high of around $27’. However, since then, Mattel has been experiencing a ‘period of consolidation’ on the stock market. To put it another way: “it is locked in a sideways trend which, excluding the latest low recorded this year, has – on the one hand – a static support level around $16; and, on the other, a medium-term static resistance level situated in the $27 range”. Now the market “could, hypothetically, break out of this situation by moving higher. Obviously,” concludes Bona, “the first major hurdle is precisely the $27 level.” On the downside, however, “the level around $16 must be monitored.”
The profit and loss account
Setting aside the individual figures, it is clear that Mattel’s stock market performance reflects the market’s expectations regarding the company’s business development. The Barbie group’s business – even in terms of its profit and loss account – does not appear to have taken a clear direction in recent times. To see this, one need only analyse the latest figures. First and foremost are revenues, broken down into four areas: Dolls (including Barbie), Vehicles (which includes the legendary Hot Wheels), children’s toys and Action Figures (toys linked to films or TV series). In this regard, Mattel has experienced a mixed half-year, with ‘gross billings’ – an internal metric measuring the gross value of orders to retailers – varying across different product categories.
Dolls, the group’s long-standing business area, saw a decline: following a stable first quarter of 2025 at $296.6 million (+2% at constant exchange rates compared with the same period in 2024), sales in the second quarter plummeted by 19 per cent, impacted – amongst other things – by the slowdown in Barbie sales in North America.
The Infant, Toddler & Preschool sector is also struggling: between early January and late March, the division fell by 6 per cent, before plunging further (–25 per cent) in the second quarter.


