Mattel, not only Barbie: more films and theme parks to boost sales
The US toy giant wants to build an integrated global ecosystem around its brands. There is the risk of high investments and tariffs
5' min read
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Key points
5' min read
A market on standby. This is how investors' current approach to the stock of Mattel can be summarised. A stock market environment that, among other things, is a consequence of the long-term dynamics of the US toy giant.
The scenario
.'Between 1981 and today,' explains independent technical analyst Silvio Bona, 'the figure that jumps out at you, looking at the chart, is the existence of a so-called double maximum'. That is: the stock reached the $42 area, in June 1998, only to fall and then 'rise again to around $47 in December 2013'. From there, the stock fell again, reaching 'a low at around $6.6 in 2020'. Thereafter, especially in the wake of the boom in demand for toys during the period of the Covid pandemic, 'the stock quickly rebounded to a five-year high of around $27'. Well: since then Mattel has been experiencing a 'moment of congestion' on the stock market. Said differently: 'it is inserted in a lateral trend that, net of the last minimum marked this year, on the one hand has - as static support - the level around 16 dollars; and, on the other, boasts resistance - always static in the medium term - positioned in the 27 dollar area'. Now the market 'could hypothetically get out of this situation by going upwards. Obviously,' Bona concludes, 'the first major obstacle is precisely the $27 level. On the downside, on the other hand, the level around 16 dollars must be "monitored."
The Profit and Loss Account
.Net of the individual numbers, it is clear how Mattel's performance on the stock market precisely configures the market's expectations regarding business development. An activity - that of the Barbie group - which also at the level of the profit and loss account does not seem to have - in the last period - taken a precise direction. To realise this, it is sufficient to analyse the most recent numbers. Firstly the revenues, divided into four areas: Dools (the dolls where Barbie is), Vehicles (to which the legendary Hot Whells are traced), children's toys and Action Figures (toys linked to films or TV series). On this front Mattel experienced a two-speed semester, where gross billings - an internal metric that measures the gross value of orders to retailers - differed according to product categories.
Dolls, the group's historical area, showed a decline: after a stable first quarter of 2025 at $296.6 million (+2% at constant exchange rates compared to the same period in 2024), sales fell by 19% in the second quarter, penalised - among other things - by the slowdown of Barbie in North America.
The world of Infant, Toddler & Preschool also struggled: between the beginning of January and the end of March, the division gave up 6% and then slumped further (-25%) in the second quarter.



