Banking risk

MPS launches bids for Banco BPM and Banca Generali worth 34 billion. Lovaglio: ‘We are creating value’

The plan drawn up by MPS to counter Intesa’s takeover bid also provides for the ‘distribution of 4 billion euros to MPS shareholders’, to be paid ‘partly in cash’ – amounting to 1 billion euros – ‘and partly in Generali shares’ amounting to ‘€3 billion’

Luigi Lovaglio AD MPS in occasione della presentazione della Relazione annuale di Banca d’Italia sul 2025. Roma Venerdì 29 Maggio 2026  (photo by Mauro Scrobogna / LaPresse)  Luigi Lovaglio CEO MPS on the occasion of the presentation of the Bank of Italy's Annual Report for 2025. Rome, Friday May 29 2026  (photo by Mauro Scrobogna / LaPresse) LAPRESSE

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The details of the plan devised by MPS CEO Luigi Lovaglio to halt the takeover bid by Intesa Sanpaolo have been revealed. MPS has announced the launch of two simultaneous and parallel voluntary public exchange offers, entirely in shares, for all the ordinary shares of Banco BPM and Banca Generali, for a total consideration of approximately 34 billion euros. According to a statement, the offer for Banco BPM provides for an exchange ratio of 1.567 Monte dei Paschi shares for each share of the Milan-based bank, with a total consideration of €25.35 billion, whilst the offer for Banca Generali provides for 6.958 new shares MPS with a 10 per cent premium, for a total value of approximately 8.72 billion.

The plan drawn up by MPS to counter Intesa’s takeover bid also provides for the ‘distribution of 4 billion euros to MPS shareholders’, to be paid ‘partly in cash’ – amounting to 1 billion euros – ‘and partly in Generali shares’ amounting to ‘€3 billion’, a sum corresponding to ‘approximately 4.5 per cent of Generali’s share capital’ ‘at current market prices’.

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“Today we are not just presenting two transactions, but a vision,” clarified Lovaglio as he opened the conference call with analysts regarding the Ops involving Banco Bpm and Banca Generali. In recent years, he recalled, Mps “has completed one of the most significant transformations in the European banking sector”. Now, “the question is not how to become bigger, but how to become more significant”. “Today we have the opportunity to take the next strategic step,” concluded Lovaglio, emphasising that the two public offers are “two legally separate transactions”, but “form a coherent business plan”. He then made an indirect reference to the Intesa Sanpaolo deal: “Our model creates value through consolidation, not through fragmentation.”

MPS shareholders to hold 50.1 per cent of the new group

In the event of full acceptance of the exchange offers launched by MPS for Banca Generali and Banco BPM, and taking into account the merger of Mediobanca into Monte, the current shareholders of the Siena-based bank will hold approximately 50.1 per cent of the combined group, Banco BPM shareholders around 37.2 per cent and Banca Generali shareholders around 12.7 per cent, explains the press release issued by Monte dei Paschi. Siena’s major shareholders, starting with Delfin (17.5 per cent) and the Caltagirone Group (13.5 per cent), would thus gain control of a group that would become Italia’s third-largest banking group ‘in terms of total assets, with a pro forma balance sheet totalling approximately €466 billion, loans to customers amounting to €245 billion, direct deposits totalling €315 billion and total financial assets amounting to €810 billion, based on figures as at 31 December 2025’. The market capitalisation of the new group would reach 80 billion.

Synergies worth 2.6 billion

The statement adds that the transaction is expected to generate significant value creation through approximately €2.6 billion in annual pre-tax run-rate synergies (of which €0.8 billion relates to the ongoing integration of Mediobanca), arising from both cost efficiencies and revenue opportunities. MPS emphasises that the two transactions will lead to a significant improvement in profitability and operational efficiency.

The combined group is expected to achieve a cost-to-income ratio of around 36 per cent in 2025 on a pro forma basis, assuming the full realisation of the expected synergies, compared with MPS’s 46 per cent on a stand-alone basis. The return on average tangible equity is expected to grow from around 13 per cent in 2025 to over 19 per cent in 2029. The combination of the Offers is expected to generate significant growth in 2028 EPS of approximately 11%⁶, assuming the full realisation of the expected synergies.

The industrial plan proposed by MPS, as the bank’s statement emphasises, ‘must be regarded as consistent with the strategic direction outlined by Banco BPM in its letter of 7 June 2026, as it is aimed at implementing a joint plan designed to capitalise on the complementary strengths of the institutions involved and to strengthen their competitive positioning in the interests of all stakeholders. The objectives remain unchanged: to create a stronger, more diversified and more competitive group’. The Banco BPM offer, therefore, simply represents an alternative technical approach to achieving the same objectives, which are also in line with the other transaction currently in the pipeline, namely that involving Banca Generali.

“The merger with Banca Generali represents a first step towards a broader programme of industrial collaboration with the Generali Group, aimed at developing new growth opportunities in business areas of strategic importance to both institutions.”

Mps, rinviato al 25 agosto il vertice sul futuro della banca

The 4 billion dividend

As mentioned, the plan provides for the extraordinary distribution of a 4 billion coupon, which ‘is reserved exclusively for existing MPS shareholders registered prior to the settlement of the Offers’. The special dividend amounts to €1.208 per MPS share, of which €0.302 is in cash and €0.906 in Generali shares. The distribution will take place prior to the payment of the offers and ‘subject to MPS declaring the validity of the Banco BPM offer or the Banca Generali offer, or both’.

In addition to the super-dividend for Siena’s current shareholders, ‘total distributions in excess of €15 billion are expected over the period 2026–2030 for MPS shareholders, based on an expected payout ratio of 100 per cent. The pro forma CET1 ratio is expected to be above 13 per cent for the period 2026–2030 and, assuming the Danish Compromise treatment is recognised, is expected to exceed 15 per cent by 2028.”

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Ops to close in February 2027

The offers are expected to be finalised by mid-February 2027 and are subject to the granting of regulatory approvals. Shareholders will be asked to approve the transaction at the general meeting convened for 29 October. Furthermore, each offer is subject to certain conditions, the bank explains. Firstly, the shareholders’ approval is required. Furthermore, a minimum acceptance level of 50 per cent of the target company’s share capital plus one share must be achieved; finally, ‘subject to the necessary regulatory approvals and authorisations from other competent authorities’.

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  • Marigia Mangano

    Marigia Manganoinviato

    Luogo: Milano

    Lingue parlate: Italiano, Inglese

    Argomenti: Finanza, automotive, tlc, holding di famiglia, banche e assicurazioni

    Premi: Premio internazionale Amici di Milano per i giovani, 2007, categoria giornalista

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