The summit

Nato summit, Meloni: 'sustainable' agreement. Yes to the 10% US tariffs hypothesis

No need to activate the national safeguard clause for the first year, 'for those to come we will evaluate'

by Manuela Perrone, posted in The Hague

Meloni: Ok a spese per la difesa, ma con un percorso sostenibile

5' min read

5' min read

An agreement from which emerges "the compactness of the alliance and the will of that alliance to strengthen itself". Having concluded the summit of the heads of state and government leaders of the 32 NATO countries, Giorgia Meloni commented positively with reporters on the final declaration committing to increasing defence and security spending to 5% of GDP by 2035. "Commitments that are sustainable for Italy," assures the prime minister, who excludes for 2026 the activation of the safeguard clause already requested by twelve EU countries, including Germany, to enjoy additional budget space of up to 1.5% of GDP. "For the years to come it will be assessed on the basis of what the economic situation is." Between the long talk with President Trump at the dinner offered last night by the Dutch royals and this morning's meeting, the Prime Minister says she also touched on the tariffs issue as an "ongoing" one: on the hypothesis of closing the EU-US agreement to 10%, she says she is "quite in agreement. I heard the companies, it would not be particularly impactful'.

Security 'wide domain', from infrastructure to irregular migration

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The increase to 5 per cent from the current 2 per cent, the Prime Minister emphasises, "is not far from the commitment that Italy already made in 2014 when it was at 1 per cent of defence spending in relation to gross domestic product and committed, as reiterated by all the governments that preceded me, to increasing it by 1 per cent. To this is added a 1.5 per cent expenditure on security'. Meloni confirms what she has already stated to the Houses of Parliament in recent days: 'These are resources that we have to spend and we spend in any case on subjects much broader than the issue of defence. The issue of security today coincides with a particularly broad domain that concerns border defence, irregular migration, critical infrastructure, military mobility, infrastructure in the most general sense, but also artificial intelligence, research, and technological innovation. Resources that are needed to keep this nation strong, as it has always been'.

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"No euro will be diverted from the government's other priorities"

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"These are sustainable commitments," Meloni stressed. "I want to reiterate: for Italy, this expenditure is necessary to strengthen our defence, to strengthen our security in a context that needs it, but in a dimension that allows us to make these commitments in the knowledge that we will not divert a single euro from the government's other priorities for the defence and protection of Italians.

No safeguard clause in 2026, then it will be evaluated

Asked by Il Sole 24 Ore about the need to find around 100 billion over ten years (from the current 35 billion spent on defence and 10 on security to 100 and 45 billion), the PM replied: 'I have heard many numbers given these days a little from the press, a little from Parliament, which seem to me to be very far from reality. We have obviously done our calculations for 2026 and we do not think we need to use the escape clause. Then clearly for the years to come we will evaluate on the basis of what the economic situation is.

"No annual obligation and freedom on spending decisions"

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Asked about the remark by the League's economic chief Alberto Bagnai on the unsustainability of the 5% target, Meloni cut it short: 'I came here after a resolution voted by the entire majority. I have explained several times that it is a decision that we have taken with full knowledge of the facts, making our assessments with the Minister of the Economy. I am convinced that it is sustainable, because of the magnitude of the expenditure, because we are talking about a ten-year commitment that in 2029 has to be rediscussed in any case, because there are no obligatory annual increases for the states, and this allows us to make choices based on the development of the situation at that particular time. So there is total flexibility'. The other Italian request that, according to the premier, has been met concerns the discretion of nation states on spending decisions: it is up to each one to choose what it considers a threat, because 'the threats faced by a nation facing the Mediterranean like Italy and those faced by a Baltic country are light years apart. So either we trust each other and everyone does their bit within this framework or if we think we can impose a single standard on everyone we are doing something that is not useful for anyone'.

The challenge? Checking 'the responsiveness of Italian companies'

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When talking about the sustainability of the increase, Meloni again calls into question the productive fabric. "Clearly an important part of these resources, if we are good, is used to strengthen Italian companies," says the premier. "This creates an expansive economic policy that produces resources. If we know how to use it well it is a virtuous circle. The big issue that we have to address is the ability of our companies to respond to a commitment that is certainly important. This will be the next challenge'. To summarise: we talk about increasing expenditure with costs in mind, but the perspective should be reversed to look 'also in terms of return and projections on the economy, as is always the case when moving towards an expansionary policy'.

Good ceasefire between Israel and Iran, now it's Ukraine and Gaza

On the other dossiers on the table, no surprises. 'We welcome the start of a ceasefire in the crisis between Israel and Iran. This is an issue on which we must continue to work,' says Meloni. 'As you know, our goal is to reach negotiations on an Iranian nuclear deal between Iran and the United States. I spoke about this yesterday with US President Donald Trump, to whom I said, and I reiterated it today in my speech to the NATO plenary assembly, that the same determination is needed to reach two other important cease-fires: one in Ukraine, where Russia does not seem to want to move forward, far from it, and in Gaza, where, as I have said many times, the situation is unsustainable."

Support for Ukraine 'in the text is there, that's what makes the difference'

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Asked about the absence of condemnation of Russian aggression in the leaders' final declaration, Meloni explained: 'The summit confirms the full support for Ukraine from all allies. We will also soon have a meeting with President Zelensky who is here and I think this is also a very important message. In the text there is the reference to support for Ukraine that was reiterated by all the actors: for us that is what makes the difference. There is everyone's commitment to support it'.

Tariffs, "more NATO strength and integration of economies" go hand in hand

On tariffs, the discussion with Trump is 'ongoing', 'continues to move forward'. 'I keep pointing out, I did it also in my speech this morning and I did it with President Trump,' Meloni reported, 'that the greater integration and strength of our Atlantic alliance and greater integration between our economies are two sides of the same coin, two things that have to walk together. So I am quite optimistic that we will be able to come to an understanding'. Meloni does not miss the opportunity to claim Italy's role in the relaxation of relations between the two sides of the Atlantic: 'I see the interlocutions becoming more and more frequent and I am proud of that, because, compared to how we started, the fact that between the EU and the United States of America there is now a very normal interlocution between allies, I think it is also a result on which Italy has played a decisive role and I am very satisfied with that. If the negotiations were to close on the hypothesis of US tariffs at 10%, after the approval of Vice-Premier Antonio Tajani this morning, Meloni's explicit approval would also arrive: 'I am quite in agreement. We talked about it with all the companies and I don't think that the 10% measure is particularly impactful'.

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