Streaming

Netflix grows, but a tax dispute in Brazil holds back quarterly results

The shares fell as much as 6% in Tuesday's after-hours trading. With Warner Bros Discovery up for sale, the company cold on mergers: 'They are not a must for us'.

Male hand holding a smartphone with Netflix App on the screen with de website blurred on background. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. August 2021.

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Netflix grows again, busy defending its crown as streaming king, but remains dis-eight of Wall Street's expectations for third-quarter earnings, weighed down by unexpected expenses stemming from a dispute with Brazilian tax authorities.

Netflix shares fell 6 per cent before recovering slightly, down 4.8 per cent to $1,181, in after-hours trading on Tuesday. Since the start of the year, however, they are up about 40 per cent.

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The spotlight of new and old media is now on possible new dramatic consolidations in the industry, with Warner Bros. Discovery putting itself up for sale, in whole or in part, spurred by the explicit interest in absorbing it expressed by Paramount and the Ellison empire. Netflix, in the face of the shocks, remains cautious, indeed officially cool, invoking above all internal growth. "Nothing is a must for us," said co-chief executive Ted Sarandos.

The top executive indicated that it is a "responsibility" to look at selective mergers if they bring value, but without any interest in traditional media (which would exclude bets on WBD as a whole). In the crosshairs, according to some observers, could be WBD's well-known streaming and production brand, namely Hbo Max. During the Q&A with analysts, Sarandos assisted by co-CEO Greg Peters added, however, that the priority is to respond to challenges such as the development of capabilities, technologies and production in dozens of countries or the integration of artificial intelligence; the answer to these challenges, he suggested, is not found in mergers per se.

The streaming leader, when it comes to performance, reported net profits of $2.5 billion, up 8%, and diluted earnings per share of $5.87 between July and September, on the strength of successful programming. The animated film 'K-Pop Demon Hunters' became the most-watched film in Netflix's history. Netflix also made inroads with live sporting events, such as the boxing match between Canelo Alvarez and Terence Crawford in September for the title in the super middleweight category. Analysts and the company itself, however, expected profits of $3 billion and $6.97 respectively.

Revenues were broadly in line with expectations at USD 11.5 billion, up 17 per cent.

Weighing on the accounts was an extraordinary tax charge in Brazil of EUR 619 million. The company stated that its operating margin for the third quarter was 28 per cent. Without the Brazilian taxes, the operating margin would have exceeded the guidance of 31.5 per cent.

Netflix made it clear that it does not expect similar pressures in the future. 'We do not anticipate that this issue will have a significant impact on future results,' it said in its quarterly letter to shareholders. For the year, it has limited its operating margin forecast to 29% from 30% due to the dispute in Latin America.

Netflix is also looking for growth in new areas such as advertising and video games, having attracted more than 300 million paying users worldwide, in order to face competition from rivals such as Google's YouTube, Amazon's Prime Video, Disney+ and others. Advertising has already posted the group's best ever result for the past three months and by 2025 Netflix is betting on at least a doubling of this revenue.

For the fourth quarter, Netflix predicted revenues of $11.96 billion, compared to analysts' forecast of $11.90 billion. It also predicted diluted earnings per share of one cent more than analysts' targets, at $5.45.

The company is certainly leveraging content that it considers its trump card. It will release the final season of one of its biggest hits, the series 'Stranger Things'. It also has more feature films on the way and in November and December, in sports, it will stream two National Football League games.

Since the beginning of this year, Netflix has stopped reporting the number of subscribers and urged investors to focus on turnover and profits as the main measure of its performance.

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