Residential market

New houses, prices and sales grow in medium-sized cities

According to an analysis by Abitare Co., in ten years, in a sample of medium-sized towns and cities, sale prices of new or fully refurbished houses grew by 22.9 per cent and transactions by +59.7 per cent

6' min read

6' min read

Not only Rome and Milan. In the last ten years, in fact, the intermediate cities have also shown significant growth. According to an analysis by the Abitare Co Study Centre, the market in the ten intermediate Italian provincial capitals recorded a 59.7% increase in purchases and sales in 2024, compared to 2014, and a 22.9% increase in the average sale prices of new or fully renovated homes, reaching an average of €3,460 per square metre.

Numbers that testify to the growing real estate vibrancy in these areas. What factors are driving growth? These include the increase in demand for first homes by residents, the growing interest in second homes and rental investments, especially in areas with a high tourist value (such as Salerno and Verona), and smart working, which has prompted many families and professionals to prefer medium-sized cities over the more overcrowded and expensive large centres.

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The comparison of the 10 intermediate cities: purchases and prices

Going into the details of the 10 intermediate cities, over ten years (from 2014 to 2024) transactions in order increased in all of them but with different values: in L'Aquila by +94 per cent, in Novara by +81 per cent, in Bergamo by +80 per cent, in Padua by +73 per cent, in Perugia by +67 per cent, in Parma by +51 per cent, in Cagliari by +46 per cent, in Modena by +44 per cent, in Verona by +42 per cent and in Salerno by +19 per cent. In terms of average prices, the most marked growth was recorded by Verona (+41.2% and 4,500 euro/sq m), followed by Parma (+31% and 3,850 euro/sq m), Padua (+30% and 3,500 euro/sq m), Modena (+25.2% and 3.450 euro/sq m), Bergamo (+23.2% and 4,150 euro/sq m), L'Aquila (+19.2% and 1,800 euro/sq m), Cagliari (+18.2% and 3,950 euro/sq m), Novara (+17.5% and 3,150 euro/sq m), Salerno (+12.6% and 4,300 euro/sq m) and Perugia (+10.8% and 1,925 euro/sq m).

IL MERCATO RESIDENZIALE

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Focus Salerno

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As far as Salerno is concerned, in 2024 the average sale prices of new or completely renovated houses are 4,300 euro/sqm, with values ranging from 3,600-5,000 euro/sqm. This figure is up +1.9% compared to 2023 and +12.6% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, sales in the city increased by +19% in ten years, although there was a setback (-11.2%) compared to the previous year. The most sought-after areas in the city are Centro Storico, Teatro Verdi and Torrione, with higher prices, while areas such as Casa Manzo and Giovi have lower prices.
Overlooking the Tyrrhenian Sea and gateway to the Amalfi Coast, Salerno has become increasingly interesting in recent years thanks to its mild climate, cultural heritage (thanks to events such as Luci d'Artista, the cruise port and proximity to Unesco sites) and strategic position between Naples and the Coast. According to the most recent surveys, international tourism has increased by 12% year-on-year, driven mainly by visitors from northern Europe and the USA.

Focus Bergamo and Verona

In Bergamo, average sales prices for new or completely renovated homes in 2024 are 4,150 per square metre, with values ranging from 1,800 per square metre to 6,500 euro per square metre. This figure is +2.8% higher than in 2023 and +23.2% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, buying and selling in the city in ten years increased by +80% and +10.5% compared to the previous year. Demand in the city is driven not only by families but also by university students and professionals, with an increasing focus on the redevelopment of peripheral areas.
Beyond and beyond the numbers, Bergamo is a significant example of post-industrial transition. After the sharp contraction of the manufacturing industry, with the divestment of industrial areas in the city and neighbouring municipalities (Seriate, Dalmine), the city has been able to diversify by focusing on advanced services, in the health sector (the Papa Giovanni XXIII hospital is a centre of excellence), in cultural and religious tourism (Città Alta, Unesco World Heritage Venetian walls) and in logistics thanks to its proximity to Orio al Serio airport.

In 2024, the average selling prices of new or completely renovated houses will be 4,500 euro per square metre, with values ranging from 2,000 to 7,000 euro per square metre. This figure is +2.7 per cent higher than in 2023 and +41.2 per cent higher than ten years earlier. Also in 2024, buying and selling in the city increased by +42% in ten years, while compared to the previous year there was a decrease (-3.8%).

Focus Parma and Modena

In Parma, in 2024, the average sale prices of new or completely renovated houses will be € 3,850/sqm, with values ranging from € 3,100 to € 4,600/sqm. This figure is up +2.8% compared to 2023 and +31% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, sales in the city increased by +51 per cent over ten years, while compared to the previous year they were stable (-0.5 per cent).
Demand is supported by the presence of university students and professionals, with a high quality of life that appeals to families. Beyond the generally positive numbers, some cities such as Parma show more interesting growth potential. The city is in fact a significant example of urban regeneration in the Italian context, such as the San Leonardo area, which is seeing redevelopment projects, including the former Bormioli area.

In Modena, average sales prices for new or fully renovated homes are € 3,450 per square metre, with values ranging from € 2,800 to € 4,100 per square metre. This figure is up +4.3% compared to 2023 and +25.2% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, buying and selling in the city in ten years increased by +44 per cent, while compared to the previous year there was a decrease (-3.5 per cent). The city benefits from strong demand related to industry and innovation, with an increasing focus on sustainability and housing quality.

Focus Perugia and L'Aquila

In Perugia, the average sale price of new or completely renovated homes is €1,925/sq m, with values ranging from €1,050 to €2,800/sq m. This figure is +2.3% compared to 2023 and +10.8% compared to ten years earlier. This figure is up +2.3% compared to 2023 and +10.8% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, buying and selling in the city in ten years increased by +67 per cent, while compared to the previous year there was a slight decrease (-0.8 ner per cent). The city is a significant example of urban regeneration in the Italian context, thanks to the PINQuA (Programma Innovativo Nazionale per La Qualità dell'Abitare - National Innovative Programme for Housing Quality), which includes project proposals that have been admitted for funding by the Ministry of Infrastructure and Transport for a total amount of approximately 30 million euro, which was then merged into the Pnrr

In L'Aquila, average sales prices for new or completely renovated houses are 1,800 euro/sq m, with values ranging from 1,100 euro/sq m to 2,500 euro/sq m. This figure is up +5.6% compared to 2023 and +19.2% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, buying and selling in the city in ten years increased by +94% and +19.7% compared to the previous year.

The real estate market has shown growth well above that of other major metropolitan areas, with a focus on newly built homes and those with high energy certification, in line with the growing interest in 'green homes'. The post-earthquake reconstruction of 2009 has significantly influenced the market, with some areas benefiting from investment and development, while others, such as the 'New Towns', still face challenges related to distance from the centre and the quality of infrastructure.

Focus Cagliari, Novara and Padua

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Moving on to Cagliari, average sales prices for new or completely renovated homes are €3,950 per square metre, with values ranging from €2,900 per square metre to €5,000 per square metre. This figure is up +3.7% compared to 2023 and +18.2% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, sales in the city in ten years increased by +46% and +6.3% compared to the previous year. Central and coastal areas continue to be the most in demand, while suburban areas offer more affordable opportunities.

In Novara, average sales prices for new or fully renovated homes are €3,150 per square metre, with values ranging from €2,200 to €4,100 per square metre, up +3.2 per cent compared to 2023 and +17.5 per cent compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, sales in the city increased by +81 per cent in ten years, while compared to the previous year there was a decrease (-5.6 per cent).

In Padua, average sales prices for new or completely renovated homes are 3,500 euro/sqm, with values ranging from 2,100 to 4,900 euro/sqm. This figure is up +2.4% compared to 2023 and +30% compared to ten years earlier. Also in 2024, sales in the city in ten years increased by +73% and +8.8% compared to the previous year.

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