New scrapping but not for everyone

The game for the new collection of tax bills is preparing to get into full swing. With the first and most demanding test to be passed: the costs of the operation, which aim to lengthen to 120 monthly instalments (10 years) the plan in which it is possible to settle the bill with the tax authorities. A test that may lead to a limitation of the plan. Also for this reason, the perimeter that the League's bill (first signatory Massimiliano Romeo) hinged in the Senate Finance Committee - chaired by Massimo Garavaglia - will assume in light of the amendments of the parliamentary forces will be decisive in view of the next manoeuvre. The deadline is noon tomorrow: a date from which the knots on the future parliamentary path will also begin to unravel, considering that it will be necessary to take into account a consistent resistance of the oppositions, with the PD alone that could present about ninety correctives.

The cost of the Scrappage quinquies has so far not been put in black and white. As anticipated by "Il Sole 24 Ore" of 8 February, the estimate of a possible 2025 balance impact with the waiver of penalties, interest and surcharges would stand at 5.2 billion. Even if the passage of the Ddl would move the problem forward, this is a decidedly high figure to allow for a large-scale and unfiltered settlement. Hence the rumours that have been circulating about the possibility of entry filters. On the one hand, with hypotheses of debt thresholds with collection or anchored to a certain condition of the taxpayer. On the other hand, with the intention of closing the revolving-door mechanism of the tax amnesties (see 'Il Sole 24 Ore' of 15 August), which has so far always led to the detection of serial debtors, repeat offenders and, above all, those taxpayers who have used the favourable definitions in an instrumental manner by applying for membership and perhaps paying the first instalment to block arrests, seizures and then not continuing with the payments due.

This is also why the bill for the previous four editions of the facilitated settlement showed a shortfall compared to the amounts that should have been settled of almost 48 billion. All this, among other things, without significantly affecting the so-called collection warehouse, i.e. the mountain of arrears that at the end of January counted 1,280 billion lire and in the meantime has grown further.

The issue, however, goes beyond the scrapping and intersects with the ongoing work on the next manoeuvre. The tax chapter is the one that the entire majority is looking at with interest in an attempt to bring home the reduction of the second Irpef rate from 35% to 33% by succeeding in raising the bracket to 60 thousand euro. But to do this requires resources and prioritisation.