A word from the manager: J. Safra Sarasin

'Nokia now becomes an attractive option'

'Also positive on companies like Palo Alto and Broadcom'

Tomasz Godziek Responsabile azionario tematico e gestore del fondo JSS Sustainable Equity - Tech Disruptors

3' min read

3' min read

The role of artificial intelligence will be increasingly central in all fields, including investments. Tomasz Godziek, head of the Thematic Equities team at J. Safra Sarasin and manager of the JSS Sustainable Equity Tech Disruptors fund, discusses this at length;

In March 25 years ago, the Dot.com bubble loomed. Today we are in the midst of an industrial revolution driven by artificial intelligence. What are the differences?

The current Ia revolution is fundamentally different from the dot-com bubble of 2000. Today's major technology companies demonstrate strong profitability, healthy balance sheets and much more reasonable valuations. In particular, Nvidia's forward P/e ratio of 25 contrasts sharply with Cisco's P/e ratio of over 100 during the March 2000 peak. These differences suggest that today's market, although enthusiastic about Ia, remains more grounded in financial reality.

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IL TITOLO IN BORSA

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In the Ia field, it seems that the game is only played between two powers, the US and China. Is there room for other countries?

While the US and China are currently driving the development of Ia through massive investments, Europe has significant potential to establish itself as a competitive player. The recent EU InvestAi initiative, mobilising EUR 200 billion for Ia development, demonstrates a serious commitment. To succeed, European countries must accelerate infrastructure development, streamline regulations and improve access to global capital and talent.

Does it still make sense to invest in technology after the prolonged Big Tech rally?

Beyond the recent Big Tech rally, technology investments remain int+eresting as various structural growth themes such as cybersecurity, automation and new semiconductor architecture offer long-term opportunities. In addition, beyond consumer and corporate demand, government investment was a key factor. In addition, stabilising interest rates are supporting technology valuations, while expanding enterprise IT budgets are further strengthening the industry outlook. Taken together, these elements underline the continued profitability of technology investments.

I COMPARABLE

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What do you think about the use of technology in the defence sector.

Our approach to sustainability excludes defence investments.

The tech investment spectrum is very broad which sectors do you see the most potential in and why?

Among the many segments offering structural growth prospects in the technology sector, IT security stands out. It is consistently ranked as a top investment priority by information system managers, with spending growth exceeding overall IT expenditure due to expanding risk areas, increasingly sophisticated cyber attacks and rising breach costs. Rising geopolitical tensions also make cyber security a priority for nations. Despite the recent volatility affecting Ia-related stocks, this technology continues to represent a great opportunity. Although we are still in the early stages of Ia adoption, applications such as advanced Ia systems (Agentic Ai systems) are already demonstrating their impact on organisations' business processes. As companies continue to explore and implement Ia-based solutions, we anticipate sustained growth and innovation in this area.

What is your tech equity strategy?

We use a diversified alpha strategy that captures multiple technology trends and adapts to various macroeconomic phases. We focus on deep tech companies with high barriers to entry and leading market positions, enabling them to capture a huge share of their growing market. Our high conviction approach targets the most promising segments of technology value chains.

IL CONFRONTO

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Is it possible to invest in tech by taking a sustainable approach?

Yes, we integrate ESG criteria throughout our analysis and investment process, which results in strong sustainability credentials, including an ESG AA rating from Msci Esg. We exclude companies involved in gross human rights abuses or other violations of UN Global Compact principles, in line with established international standards. By combining technological innovation with sustainable practices, we aim to realise not only low-risk investments, but also opportunities in companies that are driving positive environmental and social change, ultimately fostering long-term growth and a positive contribution to our society.

What securities are you positive about?

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Nokia benefits from improved investments in telecommunications, particularly in fixed network infrastructure, making it an attractive option. Palo Alto Networks demonstrates the success of its platformisation efforts in IT security, where budgets exceed overall IT spending. The company has a strong position in high growth areas such as cloud security and Siem (security information and event management). Broadcom offers growth potential through the expansion of potential customers beyond its $60-90 billion serviceable market and the growing demand for application-specific integrated circuits (Asic), driven by the growth of Ia inference.

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