Artificial intelligence

OpenAI and Anthropic are heading for a price war, but profitability remains in doubt

Ahead of the upcoming IPOs, Altman is said to have decided to cut token prices in order to compete with the rival company

by Biagio Simonetta

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

On the one hand, Wall Street is eagerly awaiting two imminent IPOs. On the other, a price war is raging, the result of competition that could, however, have a significant impact on revenues. The rivalry between OpenAI and Anthropic is entering a new phase. After years of technological competition, the two companies are now exploring new territory. Certainly, there are the listings, with both companies having already filed their documents for their respective fundraising rounds (Anthropic filed its IPO documentation confidentially on 1 June, whilst OpenAI followed suit a few days later). But there is also a heated debate over pricing if it is true, as the Wall Street Journal reports, that OpenAI is considering significant price cuts for its models to prepare for a potential price war with Anthropic.

Altman and his team are reportedly considering the possibility of drastically reducing ChatGPT’s rates. This does not mean that consumer subscription prices will be cut, but rather those for tokens – that is, those in the (far more profitable and strategic) API market. In simpler terms: the prices of services aimed at developers, start-ups and large companies.

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The aim seems clear: to win over enterprise customers, particularly those using AI models for software development, automation and chatbots. This is a sector in which Anthropic is growing very rapidly, thanks to Claude Code, which is considered one of the strongest products for AI-assisted programming. Hence Altman’s decision to compete more aggressively.

It must be said, however, that a price war could further squeeze the margins of both companies, which are already spending huge sums on infrastructure and computing power. The operating costs for the AI services they offer are very high, between the GPUs in use and the energy consumed. For this reason, acquiring new customers by cutting prices might not be without its costs.

The news, however, comes as both companies prepare to go public, with two IPOs that could see both valued as trillion-dollar companies. The rush to list hides (not entirely) the desire to secure a dominant position in the generative AI sector, but also to set the parameters by which the market will assess an industry still seeking a stable economic equilibrium.

Over the past two years, the sector has prioritised growth above all else. OpenAI has reached hundreds of millions of users with ChatGPT. Anthropic has established a particularly strong presence in the enterprise market, especially in developer software. Today, however, the focus is shifting increasingly from volume to margins.

In the background lies the fierce rivalry between the two companies. It is worth noting that Anthropic was founded by a spin-off from OpenAI. And today, the two former start-ups, both based in San Francisco, are locked in a daily battle. They have recently even clashed over how revenue is accounted for. OpenAI is said to have argued internally that Anthropic reports higher turnover figures because it records the full amount paid by customers before transferring a portion of the revenue to cloud partners such as Amazon and Google. Meanwhile, Altman’s company is said to deduct Microsoft’s cloud costs in advance.

Beyond the technical debate, the discussion highlights a wider issue: investors want to understand not only how quickly these companies are growing, but also how profitable their business could become.

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