Istat

Over the past five years, employment has risen everywhere except amongst young people. Here’s why

FOTO IPP/IMAGO/Rainer Unkel LAVORO LAVORATORI INDUSTRIA NELLA FOTO UNA LAVORATRICE ALLA CATENA DI MONTAGGIO DI UNA DITTA DI ELETTRODOMESTICI WARNING AVAILABLE ONLY FOR ITALIAN MARKET Italy Photo Press IPP

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

‘Between 2021 and 2026, the Italian labour market showed a positive trend, with a rise in the employment rate and a fall in unemployment. Employment growth affected all age groups except the youngest, being highest among the 50–64 age group (+7.8 percentage points), partly due to the gradual ageing population and pension reforms. In terms of employment contracts, stable employment is becoming more entrenched, with an increase in permanent staff and a simultaneous reduction in fixed-term staff’. This is highlighted by Istat in its regular Note on the trend of the Italian economy, covering July–August 2026.

The labour market is expanding

In Italia, in recent years – as highlighted by Istat – the labour market has seen employment grow, against a backdrop of significant economic and demographic changes and the persistence of certain critical issues of a structural nature. Over the five-year period from July 2021 to July 2026, a particularly positive overall picture has emerged, with an overall increase in the employment rate (+4.4 percentage points, approximately 1.6 million more people in employment) and a simultaneous decline in both unemployment (-3.4 percentage points, with 787,000 fewer jobseekers) and inactivity (-2.4 percentage points, with approximately 1.05 million fewer inactive people).

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More and more young people are economically inactive, but better educated

The most significant rise in employment was recorded in the 50–64 age group (+7.8 percentage points), accompanied by a sharp fall in inactivity (-6.3 percentage points). Conversely, the youth age group (15–24 years), although characterised by a sharp fall in the unemployment rate (-8.6 percentage points), also showed a decline in employment (-1.2 percentage points) and an increase in inactivity (+4.1 percentage points), partly due to rising levels of education, which delays young people’s entry into the labour market.

The impact of raising the retirement age

The rise in employment – explains Istat – has been most pronounced amongst older age groups and has been influenced not only by the overall economic trend but also by two main factors. On the one hand, social security policies, characterised by a gradual rise in the state pension age, which has led to a prolongation of the time individuals spend in the labour market. Added to this, as already mentioned, was the gradual rise in educational attainment, which delayed entry into the labour market and, consequently, also delayed exit in order to meet the minimum contribution requirement.

The ageing population

On the other hand, as Istat points out, the ageing of the Italian population is significantly altering the country’s demographic structure. In particular, the gradual decline in the population aged under 50 has been accompanied by an increase in the number of people over 50. This shift in demographic composition has also been reflected in the structure of employment, leading to an increasing proportion of older workers within the total workforce. Between July 2021 and July 2026, the change in employment among 50–64-year-olds was an increase of 18.0 per cent, whereas, net of the demographic component, it would have been 13.0 per cent.

Stable employment on the rise

Permanent employees – explains Istat – have been on a steady upward trend since 2021, confirming a trend towards the strengthening of stable employment that is set to continue until July 2026. By contrast, the number of fixed-term employees, having rebounded in the period immediately following the pandemic of Covid-19, began a gradual decline from the end of 2022. Over the last five years, this trend has led to a gradual reduction in the proportion of fixed-term employment relative to permanent employment. Between July 2021 and July 2026, the proportion of permanent employees out of the total workforce rose from 65.4 per cent to 68.0 per cent – an increase of 2.6 percentage points – whilst the proportion of fixed-term employees fell from 12.8 per cent to 10.2 per cent.

The fall in unemployment is slowing

As regards the labour market, between July 2022 and January 2026 the number of unemployed fell by a total of over 600,000, marking a period of sharp and sustained decline. From February 2026 onwards, however, this trend has slowed, with a rise in the number of jobseekers in the most recent period, leading to a moderate increase in the unemployment rate between January and July 2026 (+0.3 percentage points).

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