Parolin at Cop30: 'Climate change generates more displaced people than conflicts'
The Vatican Secretary of State draws attention to climate refugees, who according to the World Bank could exceed 200 million by 2050. Spanish Prime Minister Sanchez: "Climate is the bread that is missing when there is a drought or a house destroyed by flooding"
Warming causes 'more displaced persons' than conflicts: it is the turn of the Vatican Secretary of State, Cardinal Pietro Parolin, to emphasise the humanitarian dimension of the climate crisis. He does so from the pulpit in Belem, on the second day of the political summit that anticipates the Cop30.
Speaking to the Vatican media, Parolin thus recalled that natural disasters drive millions of people from their places of origin, especially in poor countries that are less able to respond to the challenges of adaptation. These are climate refugees, fleeing poverty generated not by war, but by the effects of global warming.
200 million climate refugees
As early as 2021, the World Bank estimated that this fate could befall more than 200 million people by 2050. One example: the South Pacific island nation of Tuvalu is a candidate to become the first uninhabitable state due to rising sea levels. Since 2023, the Australian government has offered unlimited residence permits to 280 Tuvaluans each year, with the prospect of resettling all 11,000 inhabitants within 40 years.
The World Bank also warned in 2024 that almost one in five people globally is at risk of experiencing a severe weather shock in their lifetime, from which they will struggle to recover economically.
The UN Refugee Agency, also in 2024, estimated that three quarters of the 120 million people already displaced worldwide live in countries severely affected by climate change, adding to crises of another nature, such as Ethiopia, Haiti, Myanmar, Somalia, Sudan and Syria. Not only that. Competition for control of increasingly scarce primary resources, such as water and arable land, risks multiplying and exacerbating conflicts.


