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Pension and insurance: the biggest risk is not making a choice

 NicoElNino - stock.adobe.com

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The need to reduce public debt, combined with an ageing population, is putting pressure on the pension systems of developed countries. This is undermining a pillar upon which, in the second half of the twentieth century, Italian households built their financial security and based their saving decisions. Supplementing future income and protecting oneself against unforeseen events therefore requires increasingly informed decisions.

And yet, it is precisely the most important financial decisions of our lives that we often keep putting off. We compare the price of a flight or a smartphone, but we spend little time on more challenging questions: how much income will we have when we stop working? What would happen if a source of family income were to dry up? How would we cope with serious damage to our home? It is not just a question of knowledge. The future is uncertain and always seems far enough away that we can afford to wait.

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This tendency has a name: financial myopia. The costs of saving or taking out insurance are incurred today; the benefits often only materialise many years later, or only if an adverse event occurs. It is easy to regard an insurance policy as pointless when no claim is made, or to view pension savings as money taken away from current spending. Yet we take out insurance precisely against the losses we hope never to suffer.

The first step in financial education is to distinguish between saving and insurance. Saving transfers resources from the present to the future; insurance allows us to share the financial consequences of risks that we might not be able to bear on our own. These are complementary functions. An emergency fund can cover an unexpected expense, but it is unlikely to compensate for a prolonged loss of income or the destruction of one’s home.

Pension provision combines saving and insurance. Saving for retirement means setting aside resources for the years when we will no longer be working. But as we do not know how long we will live, we must also protect ourselves against the risk of running out of savings: this is the insurance function of a life annuity. There is also a collective risk: in a public pay-as-you-go pension system, where workers’ contributions fund current pensions, an ageing population can put pressure on future benefits. Supplementary pension savings allow this risk to be diversified, whilst exposing savers to the risks of the financial markets. However, financial short-sightedness leads us to underestimate these needs. The sacrifices required to save are immediate, whilst the benefits lie far in the future. Postponing decisions about retirement provision can be costly: the later we start saving, the greater the effort required to ensure we have an adequate income during retirement.

There is also an aspect that is often overlooked: the conditions under which we save are changing. After more than a decade of interest rates close to zero, government bonds are once again offering significant nominal yields. Higher yields do not necessarily mean higher real returns: a bond yielding 4 per cent with inflation at 3 per cent offers a real return of around 1 per cent. Furthermore, when interest rates rise, the price of existing bonds falls, exposing those who sell before maturity to potential losses. Financial education must, therefore, help people to understand risks and opportunities and to adapt their choices to the changing economic landscape.

In Italia, financial literacy remains limited: according to the Bank of Italy (2023), adults score an average of 10.7 out of 20. But knowledge alone is not enough: planning for the future also requires resources and consistency. According to COVIP (2026), by the end of 2025, 39.9 per cent of the workforce was enrolled in supplementary pension schemes, but only 29 per cent had made contributions during the year. More than a quarter of members have therefore not made any contributions. This is not necessarily a case of financial short-sightedness: factors such as insufficient income, job insecurity or other savings choices may play a part. Joining a scheme is only the first step: the continuity of contributions determines how much it will supplement future income.

The problem is not just about saving for retirement. IVASS (2024) reports that Italia, despite being highly vulnerable to earthquakes and floods, has one of the widest gaps in insurance cover against natural disasters in Europe. We tend to underestimate rare events: the premium is certain, the damage merely a possibility. Yet even an unlikely risk deserves attention when the consequences can be devastating.

This does not mean that the solution is to save or take out more and more insurance. Households’ resources are limited, and choices must be made about how to use them. Financial education should help people set practical priorities: setting aside money for unexpected expenses, taking out insurance against events that could seriously jeopardise family assets or income, and planning for retirement well in advance. The aim is not to eliminate every risk, but to protect ourselves against those we cannot afford to deal with on our own.

Nor is it enough simply to provide information and trust that everyone will act like an expert. Pension decisions are complex, and inertia often prevails: when there are too many options, the most common choice is not to choose at all. This is why the way in which choices are presented also matters. One example is the new rules on automatic enrolment in supplementary pension schemes, which will come into force in July 2026 for certain private-sector workers. In the absence of an explicit decision, the worker is automatically enrolled but retains the right to opt out. It is a solution that can counter financial myopia without making decisions on people’s behalf. However, those who are automatically enrolled tend to remain on the default settings. It is therefore crucial how these are structured – starting with the costs and the choice of investment fund – and even more important are transparency and workers’ awareness.

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Financial education must begin at school, but it must accompany us throughout our lives: when we enter the labour market, buy a home, become parents or approach retirement. Our needs change, as do the financial circumstances in which we make decisions. The knowledge we gain at school is not enough: we need to be able to update it and apply it to new circumstances.

Individual responsibility has its limits. Not all risks can be addressed through savings or private insurance. Economic crises, natural disasters and demographic changes also require forms of collective protection. Financial education cannot replace these safeguards, but it can help us understand their role and complement them with more informed individual choices.

Ultimately, the success of financial education is not measured by the formulas we can recall, but by our ability to make informed decisions, without putting off the important ones, and to prepare ourselves today for the uncertainties of tomorrow.

Bibliography

Bank of Italy (2023). Surveys on financial literacy and digital finance skills in Italia: adults – 2023.

COVIP (2026). Annual report on activities carried out in 2025.

IVASS (2024). Risks from natural disasters and gaps in insurance cover.

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