Interview

Campi Flegrei, Doglioni: 'It's an active volcano, situation of attention, but no evidence of rising magma'

Since the beginning of the year, the operations room in Naples has detected almost 3,000 earthquakes in the area. The most energetic was the 4.4 on 20 May

by Nicoletta Cottone

Gli abitanti di Pozzuoli nelle tende della Protezione civile, dopo la scoss di terremoto di magnitudo 4.4 del 20 maggio 2024 ai Campi Flegrei.

4' min read

4' min read

Since the beginning of the year in the Phlegraean Fields area, the Ingv (National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology) operations room in Naples has detected almost 3,000 earthquakes, most of them of very low magnitude. Alarm among the population has risen due to the latest seismic swarm detected in the evening of 20 May. A seismic swarm in the Phlegraean Fields area which, up to 00:31 on 21 May 2024 local time, registered around 150 earthquakes. The magnitude 4.4 event was the most energetic of those recorded since the start of the current bradyseismic crisis that began in 2005. The Vesuvius Observatory, the Neapolitan branch of the Ingv, located the epicentre close to the Solfatara, in the municipality of Pozzuoli. We asked Professor Carlo Doglioni, president of Ingv, about the seismic situation in the Phlegrean area, where the population is on the alert. During the night 39 families were evacuated as a precautionary measure to allow checks on their homes, as announced by the prefect of Naples, Michele di Bari, during a press point at the Prefecture. The Pozzuoli women's prison was also evacuated.

First of all, Professor, what is the current situation and what have we learnt from the geological history of the Phlegraean Fields?

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"The Campi Flegrei is a volcano, an active volcano. Bradyseism is one of the phenomena associated with this volcano and it is linked to the fact that there is a magma chamber at depth that releases gas seven to eight kilometres down, releases fluids, also releases magma that perhaps goes to reposition itself at a more superficial level and thus generate this thrust. A piston that generates a bell, which has its maximum uplift in the area of the so-called Rione Terra. This is an area that was already evacuated 40 years ago precisely because of the effects of bradyseism. Bradyseism, which then stopped and which also determined the end of seismicity. We have seismicity precisely because of the effect of this uplift, an uplift linked to the dynamism and vitality of the volcano'.

How do the latest seismic events fit in?

"They are related to the fact that this uplift has increased in speed. From one centimetre per month - for example last year we were half a centimetre per month - we have gone up to two to three centimetres per month. There have been times when the uplift has stopped. For example last autumn, around October-November, it was very slow. Then it picked up again with some speed. We reached peaks of up to four centimetres per month. Currently it has stabilised at around two centimetres. However, we must remember that when there was the bradyseismic crisis of 1983-84, there were periods when the ground was rising at up to nine centimetres a month. And when there was the last big eruption - which is a small volcano, Monte Nuovo inside the Campi Flegrei - the ground even rose by about 14 metres'.

L'area dei Campi Flegrei colpita da un nuovo sciame sismico, culminato nella scossa di magnitudo 4.4 del 20 maggio 2024 Fonte: Ingv

The bradyseism in the Campi Flegrei is more active than ever. How is it evolving and what is the most dynamic area?

"The most dynamic area is precisely the area of maximum uplift. We don't really have any indication at the moment that there is magma rising from the depths where we assume there is this magma lens between four and five kilometres deep. Which is a bit shallower than the magma chamber that is seven to eight kilometres deep. But it is clear that as the Vesuvius Observatory of the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, we monitor every second what is happening. So in the event of an increase in uplift that will obviously lead to an increase in seismicity, an increase in outgassing, an increase in parameters, it is clear that we will immediately inform mayors, regional and national civil protection. This is obviously our statutory duty.

Terremoto Campi Flegrei, il boato e la scossa immortalati in un video

How does the area monitoring system work, how is it organised?

"It is a monitoring that we can call multi-parametric, in the sense that we monitor everything we can, starting with seismicity. But we monitor the temperature variation of, for example, fumaroles. We monitor the composition of the gases and the interferometric data to see how the ground rises, combined with the geodetic data through dozens of Gps stations, which we now call Gmss and any other information. For example, how the gravitational field varies, how so-called telluric magnitude measurements are made to see how resistivity varies in the subsurface. But it is clear that we are talking about a volcano and therefore all those characteristics and signals that an active volcano can give.

How to inform oneself? Because we have seen that correct information is essential to avoid scaremongering.

"It is very important to rely on data. Objective data are released by official sources, and the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology and the Vesuvius Observatory in particular, which is the headquarters of the Institute in Naples, only release official data. I believe it is appropriate to refer to these, to what is then released by the national and regional civil protection, by the mayors. These are the official channels. There are perhaps communication choices that may be inappropriate, that may even be unjustified alarm. At the moment we are in a situation of attention. So it is clear that we are on an active volcano, so an eruption cannot be ruled out. But at the moment there is no evidence of this magma rising.

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