Interview

Pichetto Fratin: from nuclear power up to 22% of electricity demand by 2050

The Minister for the Environment and Energy Security announces that the new Pniec will be sent to Brussels on Monday: 'From the government a timely planning of the energy mix in the medium and long term'

by Celestina Dominelli

GILBERTO PICHETTO FRATIN MINISTRO

5' min read

5' min read

On Monday, he will fly to Cadarache, France, to visit the construction site of Iter, the project for the construction of the world's largest nuclear fusion machine, in which the Italian industry is at the forefront and which is the result of an agreement between 7 partners including Euratom (the European Atomic Energy Community). This confirms the crucial role that this government attributes to nuclear power. That is why, in the final version of the Pniec (the National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan), sent to Brussels on Monday morning, meeting the deadline, the Minister for the Environment and Energy Security, Gilberto Pichetto Fratin, takes a very significant step, as he explains in this interview with Il Sole 24 Ore. "On the basis of the first quantitative cost data obtained from the national platform for sustainable nuclear power, two scenarios have been included for 2050 with a share of energy production from nuclear sources: a more conservative one that sets the bar at 11% of the national electricity demand (8 gigawatts in 2050) and another, without the limitation on installable potential, at 22% with 16 GW of nuclear capacity and a cost of 34 billion less than the scenario without nuclear power, looking at the objective of net zero," the Forza Italia representative explains. It is a choice in line with the will of the government and the undersigned to provide Italy with an accurate planning of the energy mix in the medium and long term'.

Are these goals within Italy's reach?

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Let me say that for us, nuclear power is not an alternative to renewables, but a fundamental complement to the greens themselves, being a source with very low carbon emissions that allows us to stabilise costs and thus lower the bills of citizens and businesses. That said, these are scenario projections that have been included because I am convinced that nuclear power is an almost compulsory choice for the country if we want to hit the decarbonisation targets.

Strong resistance remains, however. 

There is certainly a need for consensus and the issue will have to be addressed, also considering the will of Parliament. The Italians, however, must have all the information and guarantees on this front, and I think that, in the end, resistance will be overcome. As far as my role is concerned, I am pushing ahead with all the necessary actions both on the research front and on the experimental front for fission and fusion. And I have mandated Professor Giovanni Guzzetta to study the legal framework because we must be ready on that front as well.

About fusion, will there be room for a first plant in Italy too?

There may be some chance by 2045 if the ongoing research into compact reactors worldwide bears fruit, as is widely expected. But this is for now little more than a wish, also because there is still nothing at market production level.

How will that contribution indicated by the two scenarios be guaranteed?

In the medium term (post-2030), the possible resumption of nuclear energy use will be based on the sustainable nuclear technologies under development, in particular small modular fission reactors, and, in the long term, as mentioned above, on fusion energy, in a bid to complement the increasing penetration of renewable energy generation and other low-carbon forms of energy.

In the Pniec, the expected power output from wind energy is expected to double by 2030 (from 11,290 to 28,140 megawatts, including 2,100 MW from offshore technologies) compared to 2021 figures. Is this a feasible goal?

What we are aiming for in the next few years is offshore wind power made up of large platforms positioned a long way from the coast. We have made a decree and ports are being identified, the next step is to create the conditions, but I do not see a concrete start before 2027-2028.

The costs, however, remain enormous. 

This is certainly an issue that needs to be examined and a contribution to this can be made by research, which must try to identify the most economically viable technological alternatives.

We remain on the issue of costs, but related to photovoltaics. Industry associations, downstream of the Eligible Areas and Agriculture decrees, are complaining about increasing outlays due to regulatory uncertainty. What is your position?

We are a peculiar country from an orographic point of view and we do not have huge spaces to occupy. The government's choice, therefore, was to prohibit the installation of ground-mounted photovoltaics, but to allow agri-voltaics (systems suspended from the ground, ed), the costs of which have decreased over time anyway. So there will be an evaluation of the costs, and at the appropriate time there will also be a reflection on the incentives.

Is there not a risk that the Dl suitable areas will generate a Babel of rules?

I am convinced that the governors will play their role to the best of their ability, and I hope that their strategies will be linked in the overall design precisely to avoid the danger you fear. To this I would also add that, once all the necessary steps have been completed, the Ddl on the simplification of renewables, which has been drafted together with the Ministries of Reforms and the Public Administration, will reach the Cdm before mid-month.

Let's turn to the chapter on cutting emissions in the new Pniec: significant criticalities emerge for the Esr sectors (primarily transport and civil). How do you plan to reverse this trend?

The most complex situation is that of transport, where there is a fleet of vehicles that moves mainly by road and is rather old. Therefore, the change of pace will focus on greater use of electric vehicles - the plan envisages 6.5 million vehicles by 2030, of which 4.3 million pure and 2.2 million plug-in hybrid electrics -, but hydrogen and biofuels will also play an increasing role.

In civil society, there is talk of a reform of tax bonuses. What measures will be put in place?

We have to accompany the efficiency increase in the residential sector with more punctual actions in relation to budgetary capacity so that there is no further bleeding from the state as with the 110%. It is a question of finding the most balanced mix to achieve the final goal.

On 30 June, greater protection for non-vulnerable customers will expire. Are there new extensions around the corner?

That step represents an objective set out in black and white in the NRP, so there is no room for backtracking, nor is it conceivable, having tendered for the new service with gradual safeguards, to change the cards on the table, generating new uncertainty for operators and users.

Your ministry's opinion is expected on the Mimit implementing decree setting incentives for the Industry 5.0 plan. Is it ready?

Yes, and we have already sent it, making only a few technical remarks about the bodies that must quantify and certify the energy savings achieved by companies and the investments in renewable sources to be included in the incentives (specifically, thermal Fer).


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