Poll on electoral law: with Stabilicum the centre-right gains 40 seats
Survey carried out by the 'Only Numbers' Institute (Ghisleri) for the television programme 'Porta a Porta'
Key points
With the Stabilicum, the centre-right would obtain, between the Chamber and the Senate, 40 more seats than if the vote were to be held under the current rules, the Rosatellum, according to a survey carried out by the Only Numbers Institute (Ghisleri) for the programme 'Porta a Porta'.
In the event of voting with the current electoral law ('Rosatellum'), the centre-right, without Vannacci, would obtain 197 seats in the Chamber of Deputies against 179 for the 'wide field', without Action. In the Senate, however, the centre-right would have the advantage with 97 seats against the 94 of the 'wide field'.
What happens if you vote with the Rosatellum
In particular, Fdi in the Chamber would have 74 seats, FI 22, Lega 21 to which 80 uninominal coalition seats would be added. Vanacci's Futuro Nazionale list alone would obtain 11 seats. As for the wide field, however, the PD would have 66 seats, M5S 31, AVS 18, plus 64 uninominal coalition seats. Action, alone, would have 8 seats. In the Senate, instead, (still with the current law), Fdi would have 39 seats, Fi 12, Lega 8 (+38 coalition uninominal seats) and, FN (Vanacci), alone 3 seats. Still in the Senate, Pd would have 34 seats, M5S 18, Avs 8 (+34 uninominal coalition seats). Action alone would obtain, 3 seats.
The Stabilicum effect in the Chamber
If, on the other hand, the centre-right were to vote with the proposed law put forward by the centre-right, the so-called 'Stabilicum', the centre-right, without FN (Vannacci), would gain 223 seats in the Chamber of Deputies (+3 Trentino Alto Adige), compared to 151 for the large camp (+1 Trentino Alto Adige) without Action.
In the Senate
In the Senate, then, the centre-right would have 111 seats (+2 Trentino Alto Adige, 1 Valle D'Aosta) and the broad field 74 (+2 Trentino Alto Adige). In detail, Fdi would have 137 seats in the Chamber, Fi 40, Lega 38, Noi moderati 5, Vannacci's FN, alone, 12 seats. Still in the Chamber, the PD would have 80 seats, M5S 39, AVS 22, Italia Viva 9, while Azione, alone, would obtain 9 seats. In the Senate, instead, Fdi would have 68 seats, Fi 20, Lega 17, Noi moderati 3, 7 seats FN (Vannacci), alone. As for the wide field, finally, the Pd would have 39 seats, M5S 18, Avs 11, Italia Viva 4, while Azione (alone) would get 5 seats.
