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Poverty is growing but the beneficiaries of the new 'income' are decreasing. Here is why

The incidence of people in absolute poverty in 2023 was at its highest level for the decade and this year the new measures cover a much smaller group than that helped by the Citizenship Income

by Giorgio Pogliotti

Nel 2023 l’incidenza delle persone in povertà assoluta si è attestata sui valori massimi del decennio, aumentando leggermente rispetto al 2022

5' min read

5' min read

In 2023 the incidence of people in absolute poverty reached the highest values of the decade, increasing slightly compared to 2022: there are more than 2 million 234 thousand households, for a total of about 5 million 752 thousand individuals unable to purchase a basket of goods and services considered essential. The same year also saw a reduction in the number of beneficiaries of the Citizenship Income (limited to seven monthly payments for 'employable' recipients), which from 1 January 2024 has been replaced by two measures: the Inclusion Allowance and the Training and Employment Support, which, however, altogether guarantee economic support to a much smaller number of people in difficulty.

Let's look at the numbers.

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Poverty picture in the last decade

Looking at the trend over the last decade, the incidence of household poverty has progressively increased: in 2014 it was 6.2%, in the following two years it remained stable, growing significantly in 2017, when the household indicator reached 7.2%. In 2018, the indicator stabilised, only to decrease in 2019 to 6.7%, coinciding with the introduction of the Citizenship Income from which, as of the second quarter, approximately one million families in need benefited. In 2020, the year of the pandemic, the incidence of poverty starts to rise again, reaching 7.8% and affecting more than 2 million households, before stabilising in 2021. In 2022, the incidence rose again to 8.3%, mainly due to the sharp acceleration of inflation, which penalised especially the poorest households.

In 2023, according to ISTAT's preliminary estimates, the incidence of absolute poverty is 8.5% among households (8.3% in 2022) and 9.8% among individuals (9.7% in 2022), in a framework of "substantial stability" with respect to 2022: it involves more than 2 million 234 thousand households, for a total of about 5 million 752 thousand individuals. It should be noted that the condition of households with one dependent worker is worsening compared to 2022: here the incidence of absolute poverty reaches 9.1% (from 8.3% in 2022) and involves more than 944 thousand households unable to purchase a basket of goods and services that would guarantee a minimally acceptable standard of living.

Citizenship income coverage

Let us see how many were the beneficiaries of the Citizenship Income and Pension: started in April 2019 in the first year of its life it involved 1.1 million households for 2.7 million people, then in 2020 it reached almost 1.6 million households for 3.7 million people, in 2021 it involved 1.7 million households for 3.9 million people, then in 2021 it involved 1.7 million households for 3.9 million people, to drop in 2022 to almost 1.7 million households for 3.6 million people, and in 2023 it stood at 1.3 million households for 2.9 million people, in anticipation of the measure's expiry at the end of the year and the reduction of the duration to 7 months for employable persons.

There have been many abuses in its use, also due to deficiencies in controls - as is the case for access to other forms of welfare -, but the Rdc has made a positive contribution to the fight against poverty: the frequency of poverty (the reduction in the number of poor people) has gone from about 5.5 million in 2018 to 4.5 million in 2019 and the reduction in the intensity of poverty has affected almost 60% of the poor, as highlighted in the annual report by former Inps president Pasquale Tridico. The Citizenship Income failed to intercept the entire population of the poor, and showed shortcomings especially in large cities (also because of the 10-year residence criterion for access to support) . It also failed for the active labour policies part.

The support of the Meloni government's new measures

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The Citizenship Income was replaced last 1 January by the Inclusion Allowance as an instrument to combat poverty. It offers economic coverage to fewer people because it has new access criteria: it is granted to households with at least one disabled member; a minor; at least 60 years of age; in a disadvantaged condition and included in a care and assistance programme of the territorial social and health services certified by the public administration.
In March, 589,291 households benefiting from Adi were in receipt of assistance, for a total number of 1,240,584 members. In mid-February (the latest data made available by Inps and the Ministry of Labour) it emerged that out of 480,000 households that had been granted the benefit, 182,350 applications had been rejected because in many cases they exceeded the income thresholds. This high number of rejected applications is the result of tighter controls concentrated 'upstream' of the disbursements. But among the suspects there is also the negative effect of the Universal Single Allowance, which increases the incomes of families and, in the absence of any form of sterilisation for the purposes of access to Adi, produces the consequent loss of the right to receive the allowance even for households in situations of economic difficulty. These numbers are far lower than the estimates made by the government, which had announced a potential number of beneficiaries of about 737,000 households.

As for the second instrument, the Training and Employment Support, the active labour policy tool for people in economic difficulty that took off last 1 September, the last data provided by the Ministry of Labour and Inps dates back to 22 January and was of just 27 thousand people who had received the 350 euro monthly payment (against 170 thousand applications submitted and 68 thousand accepted). The government's estimate when fully operational is to have a potential pool of beneficiaries of 250 thousand people. We are a long way from that number. The Ministry of Labour and the Inps did not provide any updates on the measure, but it is clear that the sum of Adi and Sfl is far from covering the quota of people in difficulty, compared to the number previously protected by the Rdc.

Alliance Against Poverty warns: risk of increased hardship

In the coming months, it will be possible to verify whether these two new instruments will have a wider spread, and to assess the repercussions in terms of social distress for people in economic difficulty who are left without coverage. Alliance Against Poverty has raised an alarm: 'The economic requirements for Adi do not exhaust the pool of those who are actually at risk of absolute poverty. The risk is that they will not access the support measures that have proved necessary to save hundreds of thousands of people in conditions of extreme economic and social vulnerability from poverty,' claims the association, which groups 35 associations. If the numbers of rejected applications remain as they are, we will have to reckon with an increase in absolute poverty in our country, which will require urgent and structural interventions, as structural as this phenomenon has been for more than 10 years now'.

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