Closed-end funds

Private equity, investments and exits resume globally in 2025

During the period, there were 2,907 exits for a total amount of USD 905.2 billion

by Monica D'Ascenzo

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

The private equity industry is showing signs of recovery. The third quarter was the best in 2025 in terms of investment activity, both in terms of aggregate value, which globally is at its highest level since 2021, and in terms of number of deals, at its highest level since 2022. If the trend is projected over the entire year, forecasts indicate that the current one could be the second best year ever, behind only 2021, according to the latest report published by PitchBook.

"The economic uncertainties that characterised the second quarter now seem to have been overcome, thanks to greater clarity on the macroeconomic scenario for the end of 2025 and for 2026. Rate-cutting cycles continue globally, with the United States the latest to join them. New favourable winds are emerging for the market, supporting robust dealmaking activity and setting the stage for an expected pick-up in divestment deals," reads a commentary on the data, which shows globally 15,107 deals since the start of the year with a countervalue of $1,606.3bn, which compares with 19,302 deals in 2024 worth $1,754.4bn.

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The exits

Exit transactions are also on the upswing, with the total value already surpassing that of 2024, thanks mainly to large-scale disposals: $905.2 billion compared to $891.2 billion in 2024. However, the number of exits on an annual basis is also up, at 2,907 compared to 3,757 for the previous year as a whole. "The reduction in market uncertainty is prompting more and more sponsors to bring their portfolio companies back to the market, so 2025 is shaping up to be the second consecutive year of growth for global private equity exits," PitchBook notes.

The Collection

On the inflows front, private equity funds continue to decline and 2025 is shaping up to be the second consecutive year of contraction: $309.8 billion was raised in the first nine months of the year, well below the $399 billion in the same period of 2024. Total assets under management at the end of last year amounted to $5.9 trillion, of which $1.6 trillion was in the form of dry powder (capital available but not yet invested) and $4.3 trillion related to investments already made.

Evolution of Industry in Europe

«L’attività di deal di private equity in Europa ha registrato un’accelerazione nel terzo trimestre e ora viaggia su ritmi di crescita annua, grazie all’attenuazione dei timori sui dazi Usa e ai nuovi tagli dei tassi d’interesse che hanno dato nuova linfa agli operatori. Il valore dei deal è aumentato del 25,2% su base trimestrale, mentre il numero di operazioni è cresciuto del 2,5%» commenta Nicolas Moura, senior analyst pe di PitchBook, che aggiunge: «Le exit dell’industria del private equity europea hanno mostrato una forte ripresa nel terzo trimestre, in particolare nel Regno Unito. Si prevede ora una crescita annua a una cifra nel 2025, uno scenario impensabile alla fine del secondo trimestre». Sempre in Europa il valore delle exit è salito dell’80,4% trimestre su trimestre, mentre il numero di exit è aumentato del 22,6%. Nel dettaglio l’attività di Ipo in Europa rimane quasi del tutto assente, con casi emblematici come Klarna, che ha preferito puntare ai mercati Usa. «Questa debo

Regionally, the UK had an exceptional quarter, both in terms of deals and exits: the value of investments more than doubled on a quarterly basis, while the value of exits tripled. "This momentum coincided with a visit by Trump to the UK and a number of financial commitments from sponsors, including a £100 billion commitment from Blackstone," PitchBook highlighted

Fundraising has shown signs of slowing down, in line with the rest of the world, after two consecutive record years. The decline reflects fewer closed mega funds, while fundraising in the mid-market segment is growing strongly, heading for a record year, with the UK leading the way, responsible for more than 50 per cent of European PE inflows since the start of the year.

The US market

"Dealmaking activity continues to be the most dynamic element of the US private equity ecosystem. Whether due to a lower cost of capital or an increase in opportunities related to market dislocations, the number of deals is set to significantly exceed 2024 levels," comments Kyle Walters, private equity analyst at PitchBook

The value of transactions has already surpassed that of last year, driven in part by the recent $55 billion acquisition of Electronic Arts and the sustained pace of transactions of over $1 billion, lower only than the 2021 peak.

The number of exits in the third quarter increased compared to the previous quarter, although the value declined. "This is a rare reversal: in the last three years, there were few but high-value exit transactions. Now, for the first time since Q4 2021, we are seeing growth in the number of exits even though the value is declining. That said, some significant exits seen in 2025 have taken the overall value well above that of 2024, although still below the 2021 peak," comments the analyst, who adds, "After the Fed's 25 basis point cut in mid-September, the institution hinted at the possibility of one or two more cuts by the end of the year. This could be the expected catalyst to support stable transaction growth and a more robust recovery in exits."

Fundraising in the US remains weak, mainly due to the slowdown in exits, which is limiting distributions of returns to investors. 'The number of closed-end funds is set to reach just over half of those in 2024. In addition, exit activity is unlikely to pick up in the last three months of 2025 to the point where the trend is reversed. The result will be a still sluggish fundraising picture until year-end,' comments Walters.

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