Unioncamere Survey

Production is progressing slowly in Lombardy

Growth of 0.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter, and over two percentage points year-on-year. Employment is strong, whilst input prices are rising at a rate of 11 per cent

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Slowly but surely, forward we go.

In the second quarter, Lombardy’s economy grew by 0.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter in terms of industrial production, marking the sixth consecutive increase in a recovery that began at the end of 2024. This growth in manufacturing output has also extended to other indicators, with turnover rising by 1.4 per cent compared with the previous quarter and by 4.4 per cent year-on-year.

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Overall, based on the responses from businesses a year ago, the data indicate that between the second quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026, the proportion of businesses surveyed reporting stable or rising production rose sharply, from 58 per cent to 67 per cent. Consequently, only a third of the sample – comprising over 1,500 companies – reported a decline.

The situation regarding orders was also positive between April and June, particularly with regard to the overseas component. Demand on the international market showed growth of 2.5 per cent compared with the previous quarter, and 6.7 per cent year-on-year. Orders on the domestic market are also rising, with a 0.5 per cent increase quarter-on-quarter.

Employment rose in the second quarter, albeit at a slightly slower pace than in the previous survey. The net change between new hires and departures stood at +0.3 per cent, whilst companies’ use of the wage supplementation scheme remains limited. The sectors facing the greatest difficulties – those that have made the most use of the redundancy scheme – are the textile industry and the wood and furniture sector.

Overall, the transport sector was among those with the best performance during the period under review, confirming the positive trend already observed in the previous survey. The chemical industry recorded the highest growth in turnover during the quarter (+9.3 per cent year-on-year). By contrast, the sectors experiencing the greatest difficulties in the second quarter are the clothing and wood and furniture sectors. The clothing sector, in particular, is suffering from a sharp rise in raw material prices, which, across the entire sample, have risen by over 11 per cent, marking a significant increase compared with the previous figure (+8.4 per cent)

The overall resilience of the industrial sector – with progress recorded in ten of the thirteen sectors monitored – is in any case also confirmed when taking into account the expectations of industrial firms in Lombardy, which point to a less pessimistic outlook, particularly with regard to production, turnover and foreign demand, whilst expectations regarding employment are also showing further improvement. For all the indicators considered (with the exception of domestic demand), the balance between optimists and pessimists favours the former, with figures on average better than in the previous survey.

The main concerns for businesses (which are also shared by craftspeople) relate to a possible further rise in energy and raw material costs, and a further escalation of geopolitical tensions.

“With production remaining flat,” explains Giuseppe Pasini, president of Confindustria Lombardia – it is exports and turnover that are keeping businesses afloat, with the latter being affected by rising costs: high raw material prices, the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and the unresolved energy crisis are keeping Lombardy’s businesses under pressure and in a state of uncertainty. Whilst we are witnessing the end of the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) and a new tightening of bank credit to businesses, no serious or structural industrial policy proposals are emerging at either national or EU level.”

“The manufacturing sector in Lombardy,” comments Gian Domenico Auricchio, President of Unioncamere Lombardia, “continues to grow, not because the sources of uncertainty have disappeared, but because in recent years it has strengthened its ability to compete. This achievement stems from the quality of the businesses, the strength of the supply chains and their openness to international markets.”

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“Lombardy’s strength lies in its regions and the businesses that represent them,” said Guido Guidesi, Councillor for Economic Development for the Lombardy Region. “These figures show that, even in a challenging global climate, our manufacturing sector continues to grow and compete. This demonstrates the ability of Lombardy’s entrepreneurs to tackle uncertainty by investing, innovating and opening up to new markets. From Brescia, we are also launching a roadshow to take these figures out into the local areas and provide a first-hand account of a Lombardy that manufactures, exports and creates jobs. We want to continue supporting this capacity by strengthening the competitiveness of businesses and supply chains.”

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