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Productivity bonuses: beneficiaries at 9.4 per cent of taxpayers, with an average increase of EUR 194

The lowering of the substitute tax to 5% led to an increase in productivity bonuses and beneficiaries

by Cristiano Dell'Oste and Valentina Melis

Business people, hands and contract or signature for deal, partnership and legal paperwork, law firm and night office. Paper, client advice and lawyer person, notary or partner writing and agreement.

3' min read

3' min read

The substitute tax reduced to 5 per cent drives productivity bonuses, and the effect can now also be seen in tax returns. Employees who received a bonus from their employer increased from 7.2 per cent to 9.4 per cent of the total number of taxpayers in one year. While the average amount of the bonus increased by about 194 euros (from 1,167 to 1,362 euros). The data emerged from an analysis by Caf Acli on about 1.1 million 730/2024 models submitted up to 12 July.

This is the first confirmation - at the level of tax statistics - of a trend anticipated by the increase in the number of agreements signed at corporate and territorial level to regulate incentives. As of 15 July, in fact, there were 15,186 company and territorial agreements providing for productivity, profitability and quality objectives filed with the Ministry of Labour and still active, 23.9% more than on the same date in 2023.

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The boost to productivity bonuses comes from the lowering of the substitute tax rate at which the sums paid to workers are taxed from 10 to 5 per cent. The reduction took effect on 1 January 2023 and has been confirmed for this year as well. It is no coincidence that, according to Finance data, in the five years prior to the tax cut, the number of beneficiaries has always remained roughly stable between 1.8 and 2.1 million people, as has the amount of premiums.

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The projection on total taxpayers

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The increase recorded by Caf Acli, projected on the total number of Italian taxpayers, would translate into about 900,000 more beneficiaries. But the final figure will be reasonably lower, because the audience analysed is not a statistical sample and indeed over-represents some of the regions where productivity bonuses are most used, such as Lombardy and Veneto. Suffice it to say that in 2022 - the last year for which Finance data is available - 56% of the beneficiaries are concentrated in four regions: Lombardy, Emilia Romagna, Piedmont and Veneto. Moreover, these are also the regions in the lead in terms of the number of productivity contracts filed with the Ministry of Labour.

It is likely that the tax returns for 2024 - which will be submitted in a year's time - will also confirm the growing trend of taxpayers involved in productivity bonuses: the contracts filed with the ministry have increased steadily since the substitute tax was halved in 2023. And even in the first months of this year, the growth of agreements is sustained: between January and the first half of July, 7,703 contracts were filed, 2,162 in the period from 15 June to 15 July alone.

The future of the 5% tax

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The tax incentive for productivity contracts has been enhanced by the government in 2023 and 2024 to increase the purchasing power of workers weakened by inflation, as well as to support productivity gains, the anaemia of which is the historical Achilles' heel of the Italian system. The only downside of this intervention is that it concerns a still very narrow target group: there are 18.9 million employees.

The confirmation of the light taxation at 5 per cent for 2025 is subject to the availability of the necessary resources in the next budget law. The Minister of Labour, Marina Elvira Calderone , is in favour of confirming the current rate, but the knot will most likely be untied in the autumn.

To get an idea of the costs, in 2022 productivity bonuses of EUR 2.7 billion were paid to workers by companies. With the substitute tax - at that time still at 10 per cent - the state collected about 270 million and gave up 676 million in Irpef and additional taxes, which would have arrived with ordinary taxation. When it came to hypothesising the further cost of lowering the substitute tax to be borne by the worker from 10 per cent to 5 per cent, the official estimate was 222 million euros.

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