Presidential

In Iran, the reformist candidate Pezeshkian won. Here is why it is good news for the world

The victory of the reformist candidate does not mean the collapse of the system. It can, however, restore courage to the younger generation and crack the conservative front

3' min read

3' min read

The reformist Masoud Pezeshkian is Iran's new president. In the runoff on Friday, 5 July, he obtained 53.7% of the vote, against 44.3% for the conservative Saeed Jalili. "We will extend the hand of friendship to everyone," Pezeshkian's first words, quoted by Tehran TV, "We are all people of this country, everyone is needed for the progress of this country.

Seventy years old in September, the heart surgeon from Tabriz province had surprisingly come out on top in the first round of the elections on 28 June with 42% of the vote, against 38% for the former chief nuclear negotiator. The first round had been characterised by a very high abstention rate, the lowest since the 1979 Islamic revolution, with only 39.9% of the 61 million voters going to the polls.

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On Friday, however, perhaps on the wave of hope for a victory for the reformist, many more Iranians went to vote - many young people and many women - and in an attempt to bolster turnout the closing of the polls was postponed from 6pm to midnight. The turnout is expected to be around 50 per cent. In total, Pezeshkian got 16.3 million votes, against Jalili's 13.5, three million more than the conservative candidate. And already at dawn thousands of Iranians took to the streets of Tehran and other cities to celebrate the victory of the new president, who succeeds Ebrahim Raisi, who died in a helicopter accident on 19 May.

This is good news for the world in perspective. The reformist candidate the West likes won, over his rival from the extremist, anti-Western front. Although in the short/medium term things will change little in Iran.

First of all, because it is the country's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, who is the most influential man capable of influencing the most important policies. Certainly not the president. Secondly, because the current context - the war in the Gaza Strip and a potential open conflict between Israel and the Lebanese Hezbollah, Tehran's allies - would compact the country by making the militarist wing and national sentiment prevail.

Yet, the presidential elections are a crucial moment for the country. The new president, Pezeshkian, will in any case be involved in choosing a successor to Khamenei, 85, who has long been considered ill.

Pezeshkian, of Azerbaijani origin, like 18 of Iran's 90 million people, in addition to the Azerbaijani minority, has also aimed to garner the vote of women and the younger (and disillusioned) generation, trying to capture consensus even among moderates and some of the more pragmatic conservatives. He was the candidate who was most insistent on the economy and policies to get Iran out of a crisis that has eroded the purchasing power of millions of families for six years. Iranians below the poverty line now number more than 10 million.

His recipe is simple, and this is the good news for the world: put an end to the sanctions that have been crushing the country since 2018, when Donald Trump decided to pull the US out of the 2015 nuclear agreement (Jpcoa). In his eyes, re-establishing relations with the West, even starting a direct dialogue with the 'Great Satan', is the only way to bring back much-needed foreign investment in an economy that, due to its growth potential, is considered the last Eldorado by foreign businessmen.

His rival, Jalili, also put economic revival at the top of the agenda. But in the opposite way. Closure instead of openness. Making Iran more independent and thus less vulnerable to sanctions. The Jcpoa is not seen as the solution.

The victory of a reformist candidate does not mean the collapse of the system. It can, however, restore courage to the younger generations and, above all, crack the conservative front. Which is by no means that monolith that the Ayatollahs want to show.

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