Airlines

Ryanair closes fiscal year with record profits up 40 per cent

Traffic +4% to 208.4 million passengers. No guidance due to fuel cost uncertainties. Stable fares expected for summer

by Mara Monti

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Record results for Ryanair, which closed the fiscal year 2026 with a net profit of EUR 2.26 billion, net of extraordinary items, up 40 per cent from the EUR 1.61 billion recorded in the previous year. However, the company posted a net loss of EUR 396 million in the fourth quarter, worse than analysts had expected and 20.7 per cent higher than the loss of EUR 328 million in the same period last year.

Despite the positive results, the company did not provide financial guidance for the current year, citing uncertainties related to rising fuel costs. Indeed, the Irish low-cost carrier explained that unit costs for the 2027 financial year are set to rise, while the 20 per cent of fuel requirements not covered by hedging have seen a sharp increase in prices.

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However, Ryanair has covered 80 per cent of its fuel requirements at USD 67 per barrel until April 2027, which the company says will help protect profitability and give it a competitive advantage over other carriers. The company does not fear a shortage of jet fuel as Europe remains relatively well supplied with significant volumes coming from West Africa, the Americas and Norway.

What weighs heavily is the cost of jet fuel, which according to CFO Neil Sorahan will weigh on the fuel bill by 'a few hundred million', without giving further details.

On the Dublin Stock Exchange, the stock recovered after a weak opening, gaining 5.9 per cent.

Airfares, which rose by 10% in the financial year just ended, are expected to stabilise in the first quarter and remain 'broadly stable' in the second. "The final result will totally depend on bookings and peak fares in the second quarter," the company pointed out.

Returning to the 2026 results, passenger traffic grew by 4% to 208.4 million, despite delays in the delivery of 29 B-8200 aircraft. For the current year, 216 million passengers are expected with a fleet of 647 aircraft including 210 Boeing 737 Gamechangers. The company expects the Boeing 737-10 to be certified by 2026 and the first 15 aircraft to be delivered by spring 2027. The target of 300 million passengers by 2034 remains unchanged.

Group turnover increased by 11% to EUR 15.54 billion. Italia is the leading market with EUR 3.4 billion turnover, up from EUR 2.9 billion in the previous year, ahead of Spain, the UK and Ireland.

Traffic revenues rose 14% to EUR 10.56 billion, buoyed by a 4% increase in traffic and 10% higher fares, which offset the 7% drop in fares in the previous year. Ancillary revenues, including baggage and seat reservations, grew by 6% to EUR 4.99 billion, or about EUR 24 per passenger.

The ceo reiterated the notion that if fuel prices do not come down, some airlines in Europe will go out of business. According to Bernstein analyst Alex Irving "the company is clearly positioning itself for counter-cyclical investments and market share gains, explicitly stating that it expects competitors to fail (....) When industry-wide cost increases hit, Ryanair's strong balance sheet and high margins put it in the best position not only to weather the crisis, but also to take advantage of it'.

On the financial front, the company has on its agenda the payment of a maturing EUR 1.2 billion bond next week and set the dividend at EUR 0.195 per share.

Finally, negotiations are underway to renew Michael O'Leary's contract, which expires in 2028, with the aim of extending it until 2032. According to the proposal currently under discussion, the manager would receive an option to buy 10 million issued shares at the market price, before the recent drop related to the war with Iran. As per the current contract, these options will be exercisable 'only upon the achievement of very ambitious net profit or share price growth targets', the note says.

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