School drop-out rates still down: at 7.3 per cent. Maths is a cause for concern in primary schools
Results of the 2026 standardised tests have been released: mixed results in Italian. Students passed in English and digital skills
Key points
The school drop-out rate is set to fall further. By 2026, it could stand at 7.3 per cent, down from the already significant 8.2 per cent recorded in 2025. The ‘implicit’ rate – defined as the proportion of pupils who complete their studies without, however, achieving adequate levels of learning – is also improving: this year it stands at 6.3 per cent (in 2025 it stood at 8.7 per cent); at the same time, the number of pupils achieving high results is rising, increasing from 12.3 per cent to 13.1 per cent over 12 months. Between 2019 and 2026, the number of young people obtaining a school-leaving certificate or vocational qualification rose from 86.5 per cent to 92.7 per cent – practically around 520,000 individuals, roughly equivalent to the population of Genoa.
In summary, these are the main findings to emerge from the 2026 Invalsi assessments, which took place between March and May, involving a total of around 2.4 million pupils, and which were presented by the president of the Evaluation Institute, Roberto Ricci.
What we’ve learnt
Such a massive return to the classroom is transforming the ‘structure’ of our school: for now, learning outcomes are holding up. In Italian, the proportion of pupils finishing lessons with adequate skills has risen from 52 per cent to 54 per cent. The improvement is particularly evident in the South (from 44 per cent to 47 per cent – thanks to Agenda Sud), whilst the North remains at around 60 per cent.
Mixed signals on maths: the proportion of pupils reaching at least the target level has risen from 49 to 52 per cent. However, in primary school, it has fallen by around 3 percentage points. Since 2019, in maths, the average decline in learning outcomes in former primary schools has been in the region of 8–10 per cent; a sign that the Italian school system has yet to recover from the pandemic emergency.
Fewer pupils leaving school
Let’s start with the latest fall in the school drop-out rate. Whilst Italia failed to meet the EU target (10%) in 2020, we have already achieved the 2026 NRRP target (10.2%), and the 2030 EU target (9%) can now also be considered a certainty. This sharp fall in early school leaving places places Italia amongst the best-performing countries. Germany, Spain, Finland, Denmark, Estonia, Latvia, Austria, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria and Cyprus all have higher rates than ours (7.3 per cent, which puts us on a par with the Netherlands, Belgium and France).
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