Tourism

Short-term lettings, from New York to Barcelona: here’s the impact of city-wide bans

Study by the Bruno Leoni Institute: restrictive measures rarely produce the desired results in housing crises

Affitti brevi, la nuova stretta dell’Unione Europea

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Could introducing restrictions on short-term lets – or even banning them altogether – resolve the housing crisis afflicting many cities with high rents and a shortage of available flats? This is the question raised by the European Commission’s presentation of the draft Affordable Housing Act , which, if approved, will authorise local authorities experiencing ‘housing stress’ to impose restrictive measures on tourist rentals.

An answer to this question can be found in the experiences of cities that have already adopted strict regulations, as reviewed by the Bruno Leoni Institute: ‘The lesson from ten years of experiments, from Berlin to New York, is quite clear – it states –: bans almost always succeed in reducing the number of listings, sometimes drastically’ but ‘only rarely do they bring’ properties intended for short-term lets ‘back onto the mainstream market’, whilst ‘the effect on rents, where there is one, is minimal’.”

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It should be emphasised that these recommendations are not necessarily at odds with the proposals of the European Commission. The Commission has, in fact, explained that the new regulations on short-term lettings will form part of a package of measures. Some of these measures will need to address the other key aspect of the problem: the supply of properties at affordable prices. It is this, rather than the issue of short-term rentals, that will be at the heart of the European Housing Plan.

The alternative: repurposing and fewer restrictions

This also helps to explain the Bruno Leoni Institute’s suggestion: ‘Tackle the problem at its root by increasing the supply of housing, for example by converting office buildings rendered obsolete by remote working and corporate reorganisation, or by relaxing restrictions on the construction of new buildings or the extension of existing ones.’

The German experience

Berlin has taken action on short-term lettings on two occasions to make the rental market more accessible. In 2016, the German capital introduced a ban on using homes for tourist lettings without authorisation from the local council. Two years later, it amended the regulations, allowing the letting of main residences and second homes for up to 90 days a year. Only the first measure increased the supply of standard rentals, but to a lesser extent than expected: the ban does not result in a one-to-one conversion (from short-term to long-term lets). ‘Every additional commercial listing reduces the residential supply by between 0.23 and 0.37 units’. The second measure appears to have had no discernible effect.

Lisbon and the fall in property values

The study by the Bruno Leoni Institute then examines the case of Lisbon, which in 2018 ‘suspended the registration of new tourist accommodation in certain historic neighbourhoods where such properties accounted for more than 25 per cent of the housing stock’. According to some studies, the ban led to a distortion: when comparing the affected areas with neighbouring ones, it was found that property values in the former had fallen (by up to 20 per cent), as the ban meant they could no longer be let to tourists.

Barcelona and the risk of irregularities

In 2014, Barcelona – a case cited during the meeting held at the Ministry of Tourism, specifically on the subject of short-term lettings – suspended the issuing of new licences for holiday apartments and, in 2017, adopted an urban planning scheme for tourist accommodation: in the most saturated central area, it banned new openings, whilst in certain other areas it only permitted them to replace existing properties that were ceasing operations. The result: the number of listings, which would otherwise have reached around 20,000, stopped at 10,700. When demand was measured through reviews, it became apparent that it continued to grow. Bans can get out of hand, leading to an increase in the black economy and irregularities.

Fewer short-term lettings in New York, more expensive hotels

In New York, the law prohibits, in most cases, the letting of an entire flat for less than thirty days without the resident being present in the property. Since September 2023, Local Law 18 has required operators to register and platforms to verify that registration before accepting bookings. Two years on from the introduction of the restrictions, the Wall Street Journal compared the 38,500 properties available on Airbnb at the start of 2023 with the approximately 3,000 legal short-term lets active in 2025, reporting only rising rents, limited availability and a shift towards monthly lets. In short, there has been no improvement in the housing supply. On the other hand, the newspaper noted, hotels ‘have benefited greatly from the reduction in competition’.

The European model

From these examples – even though the Bruno Leoni Institute’s analysis does not mention this – it is also clear just how different the new European regulations aim to be: rather than necessarily relying solely on bans, as has always been the case in the past, the idea is to provide mayors with a broader range of tools. In theory, they could also explore other ways of regulating the issue.

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