The Hague Summit

How NATO came to the historic agreement to spend 5% of GDP on defence

The 32 countries of the Atlantic Alliance have decided to more than double their military spending by 2035. Trump threatens double tariffs for Spain if it does not pay. Russia called 'long-term threat'

by our correspondent Beda Romano

Il presidente Donald Trump, al centro, parla con il segretario generale della NATO Mark Rutte, a sinistra, durante una foto di gruppo dei capi di Stato e di governo della NATO al vertice della NATO all'Aia, Paesi Bassi, mercoledì 25 giugno 2025. (Foto AP/Geert Vanden Wijngaert)

3' min read

3' min read

THE Hague - After much back-and-forth negotiating and some last-minute adjustments, at the American request the 32 countries of the Atlantic Alliance agreed to increase military spending from 2 to 5 per cent of gross domestic product by 2035. In a communiqué, Russia was described as 'a long-term threat'. From Moscow, Dmitry Medvedev, President Vladimir Putin's right-hand man, responded that the EU is now 'an enemy' of Russia.

The two-day summit in The Hague ended yesterday without (excessive) disruption. On the other hand, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte had gone to great lengths to blandish the US president in order to avoid the tailspin of an unpredictable Donald Trump. Yesterday again, praising him for the recent bombing of Iran, the former Dutch prime minister called the current occupant of the White House 'a man of strength, a man of peace'.

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The agreement on increased spending (3.5% on defence, 1.5% on infrastructure) came despite the doubts of some countries, including Spain. Not for nothing does the communiqué read 'the allies commit', instead of 'we the allies commit', as was imagined at the start of the diplomatic negotiations. The target is to be reached by 2035, and no longer 2030-2032, as previously planned. Governments must present an annual plan showing a 'credible' path to the target.

Speaking of Spain, at a press conference here in The Hague yesterday, President Trump called the country 'terrible', accusing it of wanting to snatch 'a free ride' (free ride, in English). "We are negotiating a trade agreement with Spain. We're going to charge you a double price. I'm talking seriously." It was not clear last night whether the threat was concrete, and whether the president was referring to the (painful) ongoing trade negotiations with Brussels.

In coaxing the US president, Secretary Rutte called him 'daddy' during a press point. Asked whether he considered European countries to be 'children', Donald Trump explained that they 'need American help'. On his commitment to Article 5 of the Washington Treaty, which provides for mutual assistance in the event of war, he said of the European leaders: 'They have shown great respect for me. We are here to protect their country'.

The flattery addressed to the American president allowed the annual NATO summit to close without too many surprises, despite the many reasons for tension (starting with trade). The agreement to increase military expenditure contains enough flexibility to please everyone - the agreement provides for an initial review of the new targets in 2029. Moreover, the compromise also helps those EU member states that have made rearmament their warhorse.

NATO justifies its strengthening by the presence of Russia, which is described in the final communiqué as 'a long-term threat to Euro-Atlantic security'. The statement reads: 'The Allies reaffirm their commitment to provide support to Ukraine, whose security contributes to our own. To this end, it was decided that contributions to the country's defence and its defence industry will be included in the calculation of allies' military expenditure.

What remains to be understood is precisely the future of Kiev. For Secretary Rutte, the country's entry into NATO is 'irreversible', but the communiqué makes no mention of the issue. More generally, the Russian reaction was negative. "Brussels today is a real enemy of Russia. In its current distorted form, the European Union is not a lesser threat to us than the Atlantic Alliance,' said Russian Security Council Vice-President Medvedev, who criticised the possibility of Ukraine joining the EU.

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