Telecoms

SpaceX is exploring a move into the US mobile phone market: Starlink takes on the telcos

According to the FT, Starlink is considering a direct-to-consumer offering in the US, with Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile in its sights. But for Musk, the challenge is also to convince the market that growth can extend beyond satellites

by Andrea Biondi

La silhouette di Elon Musk e il logo di Starlink  REUTERS

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

Starlink’s next area of expansion may not be space, but the US mobile phone market. SpaceX is reportedly considering launching a retail service aimed directly at consumers, thereby competing with Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile and radically changing its business model

The rumour comes from the Financial Times, which reports that SpaceX’s president and chief operating officer, Gwynne Shotwell, outlined the project to investors during a recent roadshow. The proposal under consideration is reportedly to develop a Starlink-branded mobile phone service and, in due course, to establish a terrestrial mobile network in the United States as well.

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It would be a step up in scale. So far, Starlink has primarily functioned as an enabler: a space-based network capable of supplementing terrestrial infrastructure in areas where mobile coverage is non-existent or poor. The agreement with T-Mobile moves in this direction. SpaceX provides the satellites, whilst the operators retain the commercial relationship with the end user. With its own retail offering, however, Musk would be attempting to skip a step in the value chain, transforming Starlink from a technology provider into a telecoms operator.

The timing is no coincidence. Following the IPO, investors are calling on SpaceX to chart new paths to growth. Mars, space-based data centres and artificial intelligence are all part of the vision for the future. But mobile telephony is all about the present: a huge, mature market, brimming with recurring subscriptions. And, above all, it is larger than satellite broadband alone, which in March had 10.3 million Starlink customers worldwide.

There had already been a hint last September, when SpaceX spent $17 billion to acquire wireless spectrum licences from EchoStar. Many analysts believe that move paved the way for a direct mobile service. In the bond offering prospectus seen by the Financial Times, SpaceX states that Starlink Mobile will initially have a greater impact in remote areas not covered by terrestrial networks. But it adds that its ambition is to become “the connectivity experience of choice for our customers, regardless of their location, whether in rural, suburban or urban areas”.

However, the issue of the project’s commercial viability remains unresolved. According to New Street Research, the three main US mobile operators have a combined total of around 1,020 MHz of spectrum, whilst SpaceX has around 65 MHz at its disposal. This gap implies that very substantial investment will be required to build a competitive network.

For this reason, some analysts believe that the announcement may also serve as a negotiating tool with partner operators. David Barden, a partner at New Street Research, notes that building a ‘wireless network in saturated markets around the world would be incredibly difficult’. But he adds that, as a means of securing better revenue-sharing deals with mobile operators, ‘it makes perfect sense’.

The matter therefore remains open. If confirmed, SpaceX’s entry into the mobile telecoms sector would mark one of the group’s most significant strategic developments since the launch of Starlink, with potential implications for the competitive landscape of the US telecoms market. However, at least for now, the project still appears to be at an exploratory stage and SpaceX has not issued any official comments.

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