Quarterly reports

SpaceX: AI posts an operating profit. Share price rises in after-hours trading

In the third quarter, the group reported revenue of $14.6 billion, exceeding analysts’ consensus estimates

FOTO D'ARCHIVIO: Il logo di SpaceX e un grafico azionario in ascesa sono raffigurati in questa illustrazione realizzata l'11 giugno 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustrazione/Foto d'archivio REUTERS

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

SpaceX has published its quarterly results. It was a quarter in which the group beat consensus estimates on both revenue and profit.

The figures

Revenue reached $14.58 billion, 14.6 per cent higher than the $12.72 billion forecast by the LSEG consensus. The surprise was even more pronounced on the profitability front, with a net profit of $4.4 billion, compared with the $1.57 billion expected by the market. These figures inevitably drove the share price higher in after-hours trading.

Loading...

The business

However, as is always the case, a few simple figures tell only part of the story. It is necessary to look at the dynamics of the three divisions into which the company’s business is split. Namely: Artificial Intelligence (AI), satellite connectivity and the space sector. The first division encompasses the development of advanced AI models such as Grok and the provision of computing infrastructure and data centres to external clients. The second, on the other hand, consists effectively of the Starlink satellite system, through which global internet access services are offered to private individuals, businesses and institutions. Finally, the space division is responsible for the design and launch of rockets and satellites, the transport of cargo and astronauts, and the development of Starship for future lunar and space missions.

The individual divisions

Well, the biggest surprise came from the world of artificial intelligence. Here, turnover rose to 7.560 billion in the last quarter (10.939 billion for the nine-month period). And, above all, the business unit posted an operating profit of 431 million dollars. According to SEC documents, this marks the first time this division has been profitable. It’s true! In terms of turnover, the surge is primarily linked to the integration of xAI, the company founded by Musk and acquired by SpaceX in February. Therefore, making comparisons with previous periods makes little sense. Nevertheless, the profitability achieved in AI is an important sign.

Alongside AI, satellite telecommunications remain a pillar of growth. The connectivity sector, which includes Starlink, generated $5.2 billion in revenue, an increase of nearly 70 per cent compared with the previous year. Operating profit for the segment, for its part, stood at 2.367 billion. The expansion of the customer base is particularly significant. Starlink subscribers have reached 13.6 million, marking growth of 88.9 per cent. The service is clearly consolidating its presence in international markets, particularly in areas where terrestrial infrastructure is insufficient or particularly costly to build.

Space

Finally, the space business. In this area, the company recorded revenue of 1.77 billion in the third quarter of 2026, up 6 per cent year-on-year and 84 per cent compared with the previous quarter. Operating profitability improved significantly compared with the second quarter, with the EBIT loss reduced from 542 to just 7 million dollars, although this compares with a profit of 259 million a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA returned to positive territory at 357 million. In this context – it should be emphasised – Starship is expected to play a key role in the expansion strategy. That is to say: the gigantic launch system developed to carry heavy payloads and support next-generation space missions. During a test carried out at the end of September, the vehicle, which is approximately 122 metres tall, demonstrated its ability to reach orbit and carried 26 satellites intended to bolster the Starlink constellation. On closer inspection, the programme’s success is essential for a number of industrial objectives. On the one hand, Starship should make it possible to increase satellite deployment capacity and gradually reduce operating costs. On the other hand, it forms a key component of NASA’s lunar programmes.

Starlink and the war in Ukraine

So, is everything plain sailing? Of course not. The satellite infrastructure developed by SpaceX has taken on strategic importance for Ukrainian military operations, which utilise both Starlink’s commercial services and the Starshield network, designed for national security applications. As is well known, restrictions were recently imposed without prior notice on terminals intended for military use, prompting a strong reaction from the Ukrainian authorities. According to Kyiv, the restrictions have compromised various operational capabilities, creating difficulties both in offensive actions and in defensive operations against Russian attacks. The incident has, evidently, raised questions – and sparked outrage – even amongst US and European politicians, particularly regarding the management and control of satellite infrastructure used in wartime scenarios.

Mega investments

But that is not all. Beyond the tragic issue of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the market is focusing on capital expenditure. In the last quarter, this reached 19.6 billion, compared with 6.9 billion in the same period of the previous year, representing growth of 184 per cent. The lion’s share is allocated to artificial intelligence, which accounts for around 16.4 billion, primarily for the development of data centres and computing infrastructure. The space sector is also requiring increasing resources, with investments of around 1.6 billion dollars, mainly earmarked for the Starship programme.

The acceleration in spending reflects the group’s determination to rapidly build the production and technological capacity needed to support future expansion. However, the scale of the investment far exceeds the quarterly net profit of 4.4 billion, highlighting the highly capital-intensive nature of the business model. The challenge for SpaceX will therefore be to transform this phase of rapid expansion into sustainable cash flow growth, demonstrating that the financial returns from the new projects will be commensurate with the substantial resources deployed.

Copyright reserved ©
Loading...

Brand connect

Loading...

Newsletter

Notizie e approfondimenti sugli avvenimenti politici, economici e finanziari.

Iscriviti