Markets

Stock Exchange, Milan (+2.3%) targets 50,000. WS, new records with Iran peace winds and oil at -7%

Oil price falls, Wall Street grinds new records. For Trump possible agreement before next week's trip to China. Amplifon and Lottomatica rally in Piazza Affari

by Stefania Arcudi and Chiara Di Cristofaro

La Borsa, gli indici del 6 maggio 2026

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

4' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - Hopes of a deal between the US and Iran to end the Middle East conflict and the ensuingslump in oil prices, give wings to European stock exchanges, which close on the day's highs. While Wall Street also travelled at a good pace, with President Donald Trump saying he sees a deal with Tehran possible before his visit to China next week, Italia (+2.35%) finished well above the 49,000 point mark, with the Ftse Mib targeting 50,000, the highest since March 2000. For Milan, the all-time highs, which date back to the Internet bubble, are now just a step away. Paris closed at +2.9 per cent, Frankfurt +2.2 per cent. Although the situation is far from clear - for Axios the White House believes it is close to an agreement with Iran on a memorandum of understanding, Tehran talks more of a 'wish list' and unacceptable clauses - the markets seem to want to believe in a prospect of peace.

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The day had opened with rumours from Axios that the US and Iran were close to a memorandum of understanding to end the conflict and the White House would expect answers from Tehran on several key points in the next 48 hours. In a post on X, the Pasdaran announced that "with the aggressor's threats neutralised and the new protocols in place, a safe and stable passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be guaranteed". Signs of openness also came from Trump: 'assuming Iran accepts what has been agreed', he wrote in Truth, Operation Epic Fury "will come to an end and this will allow the Strait of Hormuz to be open to all, including Iran'. If, however, the Islamic Republic does not accept, he threatened, 'the bombing will begin, which unfortunately will have a much greater level and intensity than before'. Glimmers therefore, but still no certainty.

Wall Street still record. Adp labour data above estimates and positive quarterly figures

Wall Street indices are also in positive territory, again updating all-time highs. The Dow Jones rose 1.24% to 49,910.59 points, while the Nasdaq climbed 2.02% to 25,838.94. New highs also for the S&P 500, at 7,365.01 points (+1.46%).

Besides the possible peace in the Middle East and the collapse of crude oil, the market is also galvanised by macro data. Awaiting the unemployment numbers scheduled for Friday, US private sector employment posted a positive figure in April, exceeding experts' expectations. According to the monthly report compiled by Automatic Data Processing (Adp), the agency responsible for preparing payrolls, there were 109,000 job gains compared to the previous month, against expectations for 84,000 job creation. The March figure was revised from 62,000 to 61,000.

Turning to equities, the share price of Advanced Micro Devices (Amd), a chip maker, soars after the company issued upbeat forecasts for the second quarter. Also up was The Walt Disney , after a better-than-expected quarterly report, thanks to a solid performance in streaming and the theme park division. Also doing well was Uber Technologies , thanks to a better-than-expected outlook, despite a lower-than-estimated quarterly.

Oil stocks down in Piazza Affari. Lottomatica and Amplifon fly after the accounts

Also driving the indices, Piazza Affari in particular, is a series of corporate news, with quarterly reports that seem to indicate that fundamentals remain strong despite considerable turbulence. For example, Amplifon (+12.4%) is flying after its growing first-quarter results and prospects with the future integration with Gn Hearing, and the same goes for Lottomatica (+12.7%), in particular with its adjusted EBITDA up and above analysts' forecasts. In any case, on the Ftse Mib almost all stocks posted good rises, with the exception of oil companies, crushed by the drop in crude oil prices (Eni -4.15%, Tenaris -1.99% and Saipem -1.29%). Also of note was the rally of Banca Generali (+5.65%), after its record net profit (+14.6% and above expectations) and the optimism about the future expressed by CEO Gian Maria Mossa.

Oil falls with US-Iran peace talks

Sharp drop for the entire energy sector (declines in the order of 7 percentage points): crude oil prices took a decisive downward turn after the US administration announced after only one day the suspension of Operation 'Project Freedom' citing a possible positive outcome of negotiations with Iran.

Oil closes down sharply in New York, at -6.96%

Oil closed sharply lower in New York on expectations of a possible agreement between the U.S. and Iran that could end the conflict and reopen shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20 percent of the world's crude transits. Wti, the US crude oil benchmark, dropped 6.96 percent to $95.15, while Brent crude, the international benchmark, plunged 7.85 percent, but remained above $100, at $101.25 per barrel.

Euro/dollar at 1.175, precious metals back on the market

The dollar's depreciation continued after Trump signalled new progress towards a deal with Iran, with the euro/dollar exchange rate in the 1.175 area. On the currency side, the yen was in the spotlight with a generalised appreciation, with the cross against the dollar dropping to below 155, two-month lows, "fuelling speculation of a new intervention by the authorities (which started on 30 April)", say analysts at Mps. The euro/yen exchange rate fell close to 183.

Among precious metals, optimism that the United States and Iran are close to an agreement to end the war in the Middle East is pushing up precious metal prices with gold and silver at their highest levels in about a month. "The more positive sentiment in recent hours has encouraged a return of buying, thanks to the fall in yields due to lower inflation expectations," analysts say.

Spread closes down at 74 points, 10-year yield falls

The BTp-Bund spread closed sharply lower. At the end of the session, the yield differential between the benchmark ten-year BTp and the German Bund of the same duration stood at 74 basis points, down from 80 points at yesterday's close. The yield on the benchmark ten-year BTp also fell, ending the session at 3.73% from 3.87% at the previous benchmark.

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