Markets

European stock markets rise, with Milan nearing the 53,000 mark. Wall Street closes lower

EU indices halve their gains in late trading as Wall Street weakens: PCE inflation exceeds forecasts. Brent crude continues to fall but narrows its losses. Countdown to the quarterly results of US chip giant Nvidia

La Borsa, gli indici del 26 agosto 2026

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

5' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European stock markets closed higher but below their session highs, having halved their initial gains, due to weakness on Wall Street and the slowing decline in oil prices. Milan’s FTSE MIB ended up 0.31 per cent and, after regaining the 53,000-point mark during the day, closed at 52,882 points.

It has been a busy week on the financial markets, marked by disappointment at the US PCE inflation figures, which showed that prices are still rising and remain far from the Fed’s targets.

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Expectations are now running high for the day’s other key market mover, the quarterly results of tech giant Nvidia, which are due this evening. Then, on Thursday, the Jackson Hole central bankers’ symposium will get under way, with a speech by the Fed chairman, Kevin Warsh, scheduled for Friday.

US inflation still far from the Fed’s targets

The key driver of the session was the PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index) figure, which rose by 0.2 per cent in July (against expectations of +0.1 per cent); year-on-year, it increased by 3.7 per cent, again exceeding expectations (+3.6 per cent), but in line with the previous month. The ‘core’ component of the figure, stripped of volatile items, rose by 0.2% month-on-month, as expected, and by 3.3% year-on-year, in line with expectations and with the previous month. In line with forecasts, the US GDP for the second quarter rose by 1.5 per cent.

Although falling oil prices are easing inflation expectations, the figures show that the effects of the war in Iran are still clearly evident in prices, with the rate far from last February’s 2.9 per cent. ‘Inflation remains well above the Fed’s 2% target, and a figure higher than expected could once again put pressure on monetary policy makers to keep interest rates high for longer.’

‘This could in turn put pressure on the equity markets, particularly if yields continue to rise,’ comments Bret Kenwell, US Investment Analyst at eToro. Annual inflation continues to outpace growth in household incomes, weighing on purchasing power. “The challenge is becoming increasingly clear: inflation is still too high to be comfortable, and investors will be watching closely to see whether the Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, will use his speech on Friday at Jackson Hole to outline how monetary policymakers intend to bring it back towards the Fed’s long-term target,” concludes Kenwell.

Wall Street is weak; all eyes are on Nvidia. Meta rises following a social media deal

Indices edged lower at the close on Wall Street ahead of Nvidia’s results. The Dow Jones fell by 0.21 per cent to 53,464 points, the Nasdaq by 0.08 per cent to 26,130 points, whilst the S&P 500 closed unchanged at 7,677 points.

The focus will not only be on the figures for the last quarter but, above all, on the forward-looking guidance and on demand linked to AI, MPS analysts point out.

“Among the key factors to monitor will be the revenue guidance for the third quarter – and whether the optimistic target of $107–108 billion is exceeded – the timetable for the launch of Vera Rubin, a next-generation artificial intelligence platform, and an update on the business with China.”

But Meta Platforms is also attracting the market’s attention, with its share price rising after it agreed to pay a maximum of $16.68 billion as part of a settlement to end legal proceedings with several US states, which alleged that the company had designed Facebook and Instagram to be addictive to minors, misled consumers about their safety and improperly collected personal data from children using its platforms.

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The settlement was reached during a federal trial in California concerning allegations brought by 29 states. Meta has also agreed to introduce changes for teenage users of Facebook and Instagram nationwide, including daily usage limits and night-time restrictions, according to court documents. The company, based in Menlo Park, California, denied any wrongdoing whilst accepting the settlement.

On the Milan Stock Exchange, oil stocks are under selling pressure, whilst A2A is performing well

On the Milan stock exchange, oil stocks are being hit by the fall in crude oil prices and new proposals for taxation of so-called windfall profits: Eni is down 1 per cent, Snam 0.95 per cent and Tenaris 0.69 per cent. On the eve of the session, government representatives once again voiced support for the possibility of a contribution from energy groups as part of the forthcoming Budget Bill, but the Foreign Minister, Antonio Tajani, said he was ‘strongly opposed’ to the idea. Ferrari was also down (-1.56%), as was Inwit, which slipped to the bottom of the table at -1.68%.

On the other hand, A2A (+2.04 per cent) is benefiting from a positive assessment by analysts at Kepler Cheuvreux, who have confirmed their ‘buy’ recommendation and raised the target price to 3 euros (from 2.8 euros) on the basis of a scenario of gas prices higher than estimated and better profitability compared with competitors. Buying interest is also boosting Buzzi (+3.18%) and Fincantieri (+2.22%).

Mixed performance for technology shares, with all eyes on Nvidia’s results. St closed down 0.55 per cent, whilst Prysmian rose by 0.54 per cent. Looking more broadly at European stocks in the sector, in Amsterdam BeSemiconductor slipped to the bottom of the table, down 3.56 per cent, with selling also seen in ASM International (-0.68%), whilst in Frankfurt Infineon rose (+0.75%).

Oil and gas reduce losses

The fall in oil prices is slowing, with losses halved from earlier in the morning as prices recover, with WTI trading around $82 and Brent below $89 a barrel. 

Prices are being kept under pressure by hopes for talks between Iran and Oman, which have said they wish to create a “temporary shipping lane” in the Strait of Hormuz, by working together to clear it of mines. Furthermore, rumours are mounting about a resumption of talks between the United States and Iran: according to the New York Times, the US is reportedly preparing to send delegates to the Middle East, whilst other sources cite new attempts at mediation by Pakistan.

On the other hand, less encouraging signs are coming from US oil stocks, which have indeed risen over the past week, but by less than expected.

Natural gas is also helping to reduce the shortfalls; on the TTF platform in Amsterdam is trading at just under 66 euros per MWh.

Borsa in un minuto

Euro/dollar down slightly. Bitcoin’s rally hits a wall at 80,000

The dollar is up slightly but without any major fluctuations following the US consumer price figures. After a slight dip the previous day, the greenback is regaining ground and pushing the euro to 1.165. 

Bitcoin’s rally has stalled as it hits resistance at $80,000 and returns to trading around $78,000. The day before, the cryptocurrency had briefly surpassed $81,000, before erasing its gains as profit-taking set in following its biggest weekly rise in the last three years.

Spread closes higher at 82 points; 10-year yield rises to 4.04%

The spread between BTp and Bund bonds closed slightly higher. At the close of trading, the yield spread between the benchmark 10-year BTp and its German counterpart stood at 82 basis points, one point higher than Tuesday’s close. There was a more pronounced rise in the yield on the benchmark 10-year BTp, which closed at 4.04 per cent, up from 4.01 per cent in the previous session.

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