Markets

Stock market set for another uneventful week: tech sector faces the Unitree IPO test

A week of subdued trading, with the focus on the Chinese tech group’s stock market debut and on the signals from the Fed minutes and European inflation figures.

 immimagery - stock.adobe.com

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

3' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

With the week around 15 August having passed without any major surprises, against a backdrop of subdued trading and few macroeconomic figures, investors are looking ahead to the week starting tomorrow, which is likely to follow a similar pattern.

Following the US inflation and producer price data released in recent days, which have dispelled speculation of a rate rise by the Federal Reserve (with consumer prices in line with expectations and producer prices better than forecast), further clues may emerge from the minutes of the latest meeting of the FOMC, the Fed’s monetary policy arm, due to be released on Wednesday – the same day that Eurozone inflation figures are also due to be published.

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The minutes may shed further light on the divergence of views amongst Committee members regarding whether to proceed with further interest rate rises in 2026 (Fed Funds futures currently price in a 31 per cent probability of a 25 basis point rise).

The issues that have dominated the headlines in recent weeks will continue to capture attention: tensions in the Middle East, with the deadlock in the Strait of Hormuz showing no sign of resolution; the resulting fluctuations in crude oil prices, with Brent briefly rising above $90 before pulling back, and investor concerns, which, however, have not prevented the S&P 500 and continental indices from flirting with record highs (the FTSE MIB, for example, set an all-time intraday record above the psychological threshold of 54,000 points).

On the corporate front, the quarterly results season is now drawing to a close. Among the most significant announcements are the results from the American retail giant, Walmart, and those from the Chinese tech giant, Alibaba, both of which are due on Thursday.

Finally, there is also great anticipation for the IPO of Unitree Robotics, a Chinese humanoid robotics group: it is due to take place in the coming days and, although no official date has yet been announced, it is estimated to be around 20 August. Record demand points to a booming debut, which could breathe new life into the global tech sector.

Unitree has placed 40.4 million shares, representing approximately 10 per cent of the share capital, at a price of 150.8 yuan ($22.35) per share, raising approximately $900 million. Furthermore, demand for the retail tranche exceeded the supply by more than 8,000 times, which means that the probability of successfully securing shares – as Unitree explained in the documentation filed with the regulatory authorities – is 0.018 per cent. As for macroeconomic data, the calendar is fairly light: in addition to European figures, attention will turn to UK inflation for July, a figure that could influence expectations regarding the Bank of England’s next moves.

The consensus among economists is for headline inflation to accelerate, though this will be accompanied by a slowdown in core and services inflation – a scenario that could lead to a pause at the September meeting. On Friday, meanwhile, the preliminary August PMI figures for manufacturing and services in the world’s major economies will be released. In the eurozone, the consensus forecast expects the expansion in aggregate economic activity to continue, albeit with variations between countries.

In particular, it will be important to see whether the French manufacturing and services indices manage to return marginally above the expansion threshold, as forecast by economists, and whether the German services sector will also confirm the expected recovery. In the United States, on the other hand, both the manufacturing and services sectors are expected to remain firmly in expansionary territory.

In China, Monday will be a particularly significant day, with the release of July’s figures on investment, consumption, the property market and industrial production – the first set of indicators for the new quarter.

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