Markets

US-Iran tensions return to the stock markets; oil prices surge

US forces have attacked the Iranian island of Larak, in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting a retaliatory strike by Tehran against US targets in Jordan. Brent crude has once again risen above $90, whilst the euro/dollar exchange rate has remained largely unchanged

 Vlad Darii - stock.adobe.com

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

2' min read

Translated by AI
Versione italiana

(Il Sole 24 Ore Radiocor) - European stock markets are searching for direction in the final trading session of August. The markets are keeping a close eye on tensions in the Middle East, with renewed clashes between the United States and Iran, whilst looking ahead to September with all eyes on macroeconomic data, starting with eurozone inflation (1 September) and figures on the US labour market (6 September), particularly in light of the inflation concerns expressed last Friday by Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh in Jackson Hole.

Meanwhile, on the geopolitical front, the United States has carried out attacks on the Iranian island of Larak (opposite the Strait of Hormuz), prompting retaliation by Tehran against US targets in Jordan, which has driven up the price of oil. Pressure is also continuing on the economic front through sanctions. Ahead of the G20 Finance Ministers’ meeting (31 August–1 September), US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that he would not rule out possible sanctions against China for its trade relations with Tehran. Furthermore, in an interview with Reuters, he emphasised that ‘the world cannot afford a China with a trade surplus of 1,200 billion dollars’. Bessent will urge the G20 to review trade conditions with Beijing.

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In this context, the FTSE MIB in Milan is trading higher, buoyed by oil stocks, whilst the other European markets are performing in a mixed fashion.

On the Milan Stock Exchange, oil stocks surge (Eni , Tenaris and Saipem) were buoyed by rises in crude oil prices. Stellantis and Generali, whilst the market’s attention remains fixed on the key players in the takeover battle following the dual bid for Banca Monte Paschi Siena for Banco Bpm and Banca Generali, which contrasts with that of Intesa Sanpaolo on Monte, flanked by Unipol. Bringing up the rear are defence and aerospace stocks (Fincantieri , Leonardo and Avio ).

Euro/dollar trade remains largely unchanged. Oil prices are rising

In the currency markets, the euro/dollar is trading little changed at 1.159 (1.1583). The price of oil is rising again following fresh clashes between the United States and Iran. US forces have carried out strikes on the Iranian island of Larak (in the Strait of Hormuz), the first in a month, prompting a retaliatory strike by Tehran against US targets in Jordan. As a result, November Brent futures have risen above $90 a barrel and WTI is heading towards $86.

The Nikkei falls (-0.14%) amid tensions in Iran

Trading got off to a negative start this week on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei index closed down 0.14 per cent at 66,311.93 points, weighed down by fears over the crisis between the United States and Iran, which have put oil prices under pressure once again. Investors were also put off by recent warnings from the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, regarding a possible rise in interest rates to combat inflation. The broader Topix index, however, closed in positive territory (+0.23%) at 4,156.29 points. Other Asian stock markets were also down. In particular, in China, manufacturing activity improved slightly in August but remained in contraction for the second consecutive month, whilst new regulations aimed at reforming Beijing’s property pre-sale system are weighing on the property sector.

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