The comparison

Strong as a nation: Lombardy ranks 10th in GDP among EU countries

Top for growth in 2019 in Edison Foundation data. Among the four largest economies it has the highest decline in joblessness

by Luca Orlando

Imagoeconomica

3' min read

3' min read

Ahead of Austria, a pasting away from Ireland. When discussing Lombardy and its role on the international scene, the expression 'engine of Europe' is by no means a stretch.

We are talking about an area whose gross domestic product, 481 billion euro, ranks tenth in Europe: not among regions, but taking individual states into account.

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The data presented by Assolombarda at the annual meeting held at Bocconi University and processed in collaboration with the Edison Foundation directed by Marco Fortis, trace the profile of a territory that is 'heavy' in economic terms (worth as much as Greece and Portugal put together) but also and above all dynamic compared to its partners. In fact, looking at the post-Covid reaction to 2019-2023 growth, a 6.7% leap in GDP is observed for Lombardy. Two points above the Italian average, almost double that of the albeit dynamic Spain, almost three times as much compared to France. With a sidereal distance compared to Berlin, nailed in a recession that allows a positive balance of just half a percentage point in four years. A situation, that of the Gross Domestic Product in absolute terms, which does not change if we examine per capita values: here too Lombardy has been able to do better than the national average and the main continental economies.

If Italy can present itself at the top of the ranking (it is third in Europe in terms of GDP and industrial added value), it owes it first and foremost to the strength of this territory, with the provinces represented by Assolombarda (in addition to Milan, also Monza-Brianza, Lodi and Pavia), which alone account for 13% of the entire national gross product (and 58% of that of Lombardy), a share that is not dissimilar when looking at both the industrial (12%) and services (14%) sectors.

Lombardy, which, if it were a state, could therefore sit 'as equals' at every negotiating table, on the strength of a tenth place in Europe in terms of both gross domestic product and per capita GDP, added value per person that with reference to industry alone even reaches fifth place in Europe, behind only Ireland, Denmark, Germany and Austria. But well ahead of France, Sweden, Finland and the Netherlands, at twice the level of Spain.

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If Lombardy does not disfigure in the inter-state comparison, looking at the comparable perimeters of the ten manufacturing regions of Germany, France and Spain (+Italy), the region has the best growth figures since the pre-pandemic period, the fourth most significant expansion on international markets between 2019 and 2023 (+28.3%), and the most consistent reduction in unemployment. A fall of 29% that places Lombardy in the second best position overall, also looking at all the EU countries, and that also extends to the 15-24 bracket, another area in which a record is achieved among the regional areas examined. With a drop in the number of unemployed of almost 60%, Brianza also holds the absolute record among all the benchmark regions.

As a result of this steady decline, the unemployment rate in the region stood at 4 per cent in 2023, almost half the national average and seventh highest among the 27 EU countries.

The picture in terms of youth unemployment is also less bleak than in the past. While Bayern, Baden-Württemberg and Rhine-Westphalia remain far behind, with figures in the range of 5-6%, Lombardy in the ranking comes right behind, presenting better numbers (15.4%) than the French manufacturing regions and even Spain.

La presentazione in Assemblea

I dati sono stati esposti nel corso dell’appuntamento annuale di Assolombarda, all’Università Bocconi di Milano

Nella foto Alessandro Spada, presidente di Assolombarda

A boost to company headcount that derives in large part from the structural and growing exposure of the territory's companies to international competition, a 'full immersion' in global markets summarised by the 164 billion worth of goods exported in 2023. A figure that represents more than a quarter of what our country exports in a year and is worth 12th place overall among countries, placing the territory ahead of, for example, Hungary, Denmark or Portugal.

Data that, on the whole, express the strength of the territory, presented by Assolombarda at its annual assembly to try, on the one hand, to change the negative narrative that often accompanies us, so as to build a more balanced international image of the country. And which, on the other hand, serve to testify to the existence of a precise industrial model, a model that is considered a winner and therefore able to provide 'the authority to express concern about the future'. Bearing in mind, he explains, that 'our company is the engine that links Italy to the heart of Europe'.

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