Tlc

If Swisscom buys Vodafone Italia the first Ftth operator in Italy is born

Swisscom announced the acquisition of Vodafone Italia for EUR 8 billion in cash. The transaction, which is expected to close by the end of 2024, will create the first Ftth operator in Italy with a market share of 36%.

by Andrea Biondi

The headquarters of the IT division of Swisscom is seen 11 March 2007 in Bern. The Swisscom Group is Switzerland's largest telecoms company. AFP PHOTO / FABRICE COFFRINI (Photo by FABRICE COFFRINI / AFP)

3' min read

3' min read

A turning point in the consolidation of TLC in Italy. After all the hype of the last few months (the first rumours were published in the Sole 24 Ore on 11 November), confirmation has now arrived from both companies: both Swisscom and Vodafone have put it down in black and white that they are in exclusive negotiations for a transaction in Italy. Specifically, this would be the purchase of 100 per cent of Vodafone Italia for cash. Swisscom's objective is a merger of Vodafone Italia with its subsidiary Fastweb.

Enterprise value of 8 billion

.

The two groups have agreed on a preliminary purchase price of EUR 8 billion in cash and debt-free. The transaction, reports a note from the Swiss telecommunications bigwig, is expected to result in value and cash flow growth for Swisscom. "After the acquisition," the statement further reads, "Swisscom will maintain at least an 'A' corporate credit rating and there would be a positive impact on dividend policy."

Loading...

"The planned merger between Vodafone Italia and Fastweb," the note continues, "would combine high-quality mobile and fixed infrastructures, expertise and capabilities to create a leading group based on business convergence. The increased scale, more efficient cost structure and significant potential for synergies would allow the new entity to unlock value for all shareholders'. The transaction "would represent a key step towards enabling Swisscom to achieve its long-term value creation objective in Italy and to be fully compliant with the strategic objectives set out by the Swiss Federal Council for Swisscom".

Vodafone: "The best value combination"

.

In the morning, Vodafone Group also issued a statement confirming the exclusive negotiations. "Vodafone," reads the note from the British multinational telecoms company led by CEO Margherita Della Valle, "has been in discussions with several parties to explore options for market consolidation in Italy and believes this potential transaction offers the best combination of value creation, upfront cash consideration and transaction certainty for Vodafone shareholders. In this framework, 'subject to the definition of a binding contractual agreement for the transaction, the parties have agreed that Swisscom would acquire Vodafone Italia for an enterprise value of EUR 8 billion on a cash and debt free basis and subject to customary adjustments at the time of closing,' the note further explained.

Cash offer preferred

.

What is envisaged according to the two notes is therefore a complete exit of Vodafone from Italy. No joint venture, as Iliad would have wished with its offer, made at the end of January and rejected by the Newbury-based telecoms multinational. The cash payment and the sale of the JV instead were preferred over a higher valuation since, as Intermonte reports, the EUR8 billion preliminary valuation, equal to around 6 times EBITDAaL, is more than 20% lower than the offer submitted by Iliad, which valued the asset at around EUR10.45 billion equal to 7.8 times EBITDAaL but with a cash component of EUR6.6 billion.

Vodafone, EBITDAaL review

In this context, considering that Vodafone has however disclosed, in the same communication issued in the morning, a revision of EBITDAaL with respect to the consensus numbers, with the existence of approximately EUR 176 million of "group services charges", and therefore intergroup charges and EUR 97 million of "non-cash items included in EBITDAaL", for the Italian branch of the group there would be a lower EBITDAaL than that reported at the time of the Iliad offer. According to the updated parameters, therefore, at current values Fastweb's offer would be a valuation with a multiple of 7.8 times EBITDAaL versus 9.9 times EBITDAaL for the Iliad offer.

First operator on Ftth

.

As Intermonte notes, a merger between Vodafone and Fastweb would face fewer antitrust hurdles than a joint venture between Vodafone and Iliad, but the synergies would also be lower and would not lead to any market repair in the mobile segment. According to the latest data reported in Agcom's Quarterly Observatory and updated to 30 September 2023, the combination of Vodafone Italia and Fastweb would create the country's second fixed broadband operator (aggregate market share of 30.3%, of which Vodafone 16.5% and Fastweb 13.8%, compared to Tim's 38.4%) and the leading player on Ftth (combined market share 36%, of which Vodafone 18.5% and Fastweb 17.5% compared to Tim's 25.9%) with a strong presence in the fixed business segment, which is particularly profitable: 35.1% combined market share of which Vodafone 17% and Fastweb 18%, versus Tim's 41.5%.

Copyright reserved ©
Loading...

Brand connect

Loading...

Newsletter

Notizie e approfondimenti sugli avvenimenti politici, economici e finanziari.

Iscriviti